The 1000 Guineas is the first fillies’ Classic horse race, run at Newmarket on Friday April 30. Compare 2021 1000 Guineas odds from the top online bookies using the betting table below & claim bookies free bets.
1000 Guineas Betting Odds 2021
3.35pm Newmarket, Friday April 30 2021; TV: Live on ITV; Best odds bold; Each-Way Place Terms: 1/5 odds 1,2,3.
Favourites dominate in 1000 Guineas Odds
Betting on the 1,000 Guineas odds has helped bolster the income of horse racing punters and depleted the bank balances of bookmakers with relentless regularity. Within the past 11 years, there has even been a four year period which delivered returns for favourite-following punters on three out of four occasions.
The favourites were not exactly odds-on shots either. They all started at prices that meant you did not have to stake masses of cash to benefit from significant winnings. Their starting prices ranged from 5/4 to 9/2. The prices may not be on a par with that of a winning favourite in the Grand National but the 1,000 Guineas is not a cavalry charge involving extraordinary obstacles with a history of favourite-felling cataclysmic pile-ups.
The 1,000 Guineas is, after all, a Group 1 Classic flat race open only to three year old fillies. It boasts a substantial purse of prize money that will draw the premier cru talent from France as well as the best that can be found in the UK and Ireland. Like the 2000 Guineas (the first Classic of the flat racing season), it is run on the turf of the Rowley Mile at Newmarket racecourse.
Fortunately the massive disparity in prize money that is responsible for the names of both the 2,000 and 1,000 Guineas races appears to have been resolved to the satisfaction of all involved in racing. The prize money is now about the same for both races. It just means that the 2,000 Guineas (although open to both colts and fillies) is now contested only by colts.
The last filly to win the 2,000 Guineas was Garden Path back in the 1940s when the larger prize money on offer made the race a more attractive proposition.
The betting profits made by punters by playing the 1,000 Guineas odds are particularly impressive when you consider the dynamics of the race. It is the second Classic race of the flat racing calendar and falls fairly early in the season, either at the very beginning of May or in the last few days of April.
Most top class trainers are fairly sparing with the number of outings of their very best charges. The 1,000 Guineas is consequently the first run as a three year old for many of the participants. That means you will be looking to pick the winner with absolutely no recent form to assess for many of the most gifted runners.
The transition of young horses from a successful two year season to a three year old campaign can be notoriously difficult for punters to gauge. A great two year old is not guaranteed even to make a good three year old. Some horses simply do not progress, others may have lost their enthusiasm for racing or picked up an injury. You will not even get to see many of the runners until they go into the paddock before the race.
1,000 Guineas tips guide
It would be foolish to expect that a 75% strike rate for favourites is sustainable but the thousands of punters who have enjoyed counting their profits after betting on the 1,000 Guineas have made it one of the races that the bookies dread.
It seems as if God was on the side of the punters in the 2010 running of the 1,000 Guineas. A 66/1 shot, the Henry Cecil trained Jacqueline Quest, actually passed the post with her nose ahead of the fancied French raider, Special Duty, the 9/2 favourite in the 1000 Guineas betting trained by Criquette Head-Maarek. Yes, Jacqueline Quest wandered a bit in the closing stages but many of the experts were extremely surprised to see the placings reversed. The stewards justified their intervention on the grounds that the margin of victory was so slight that, had Jacqueline Quest kept straight, Special Duty would have got there first.
History would have been made if Jacqueline Quest had kept the race at 66/1 in 2010. She was first passed the post but placed second to favourite Special Duty. The longest priced winner since the race was first run in 1814 was a filly called Ferry who prevailed in 1918 at a starting price of 50/1.
Looking back at the starting prices of the winners over nearly two centuries would suggest that the very long priced outsiders are definitely best ignored. Jacqueline Quest appears to have been a one off.
The filly that broke the dream run for favourites in the race was the longest priced winner in the 1000 Guineas betting odds for years. The Barry Hills trained filly, Ghanaati, was a 20/1 shot having her first run as a three year old in the 2009 running of the race. She had run just twice on the all weather at Kempton as a two year old, winning her maiden at the second attempt when carrying less weight than her rivals.
In 2011 Blue Bunting landed the race for Godolphin and Frankie Dettori. Considering the following that jockey tends to get is was a surprise to see the generous SP of 16/1, but the filly was having her first run of the year. Blue Bunting subsequently failed to stay the extra yardage when favourite in the Oaks Betting. But she then won twice more in Group 1 company when returned to a mile.
Ghanaati not only achieved the fastest ever winning time but followed up her win with a very impressive victory in the Coronation Stakes, another Group 1 race for three year old fillies, six weeks later at Ascot. She started the 2/1 favourite, beating Reggane and Rainbow View, the 8/11 favourite in the 1,000 Guineas.
There are very few odds-on favourites in the 1,000 Guineas betting for good reason. The first run as a three year old must always be treated with some caution for the reasons previously explained. The race always brings together fillies that have not previously encountered each other on a racecourse too.
Having extolled the virtues of favourites, very short-priced runners are probably not good value. Rainbow View finished a very disappointing 5th behind Ghanaati in 2009. It was her first run as a three year old and she had been unbeatable in her four runs as a two year old.
If recent history is any indicator, you can usually ignore the wide outsiders in the 1,000 Guineas with confidence. Concentrate instead on the favourites but remember to treat the odds-on shots in the 1,000 Guineas odds with caution, especially if they have not been seen since the previous season.