At Stamford Bridge on Sunday afternoon (4.30pm), Chelsea will take on Tottenham for the third time this month. Will it be another victory for the boys in blue? Or can Antonio Conte get revenge against his old club? Read on for our full CFC vs THFC preview and betting tips.
When the Blues got the better of Spurs for the second time in a week on January 12th, they looked to be in fine shape, winning three on the spin, stretching their unbeaten run to 11 in all competitions. However, things have gone slightly awry since. Getting a result against Premier League leaders and likely title winners Manchester City was a stretch too far for Thomas Tuchel’s men. They were outfought and outplayed by the team that currently leads the race for coveted Premier League trophy by nine points. That defeat may well have had a negative effect, at least that appeared to be the case last time out when drawing 1-1 with Brighton. After two below-par efforts, it will be interesting to see how the one-time title favourites in the EPL betting odds react on Sunday.
For Tottenham, the reverse is true. Losing the EFL Cup semi-final was a culmination of some poor form, but just a few days ago, it looked for all to see that the Spurs boys were fired up after that defeat. It took some last-ditch heroics from substitute Steven Bergwijn, who netted in both the 95th and 97th minute, to snatch victory at the King Power Stadium on Wednesday night, but it was only what the efforts of Conte’s team deserved.
Against a very useful Leicester side, Spurs looked up for it, they played on the front foot and were creative in the final third. A similar showing on Sunday should see them get far more competitive than when they last visited the Bridge earlier this month.
Seen plenty of each other
These old foes have been forced together on plenty occasions this season, so much so that this will be the fourth renewal of this fixture in the last four months. So far, Sunday’s hosts are the proud owners of a perfect record, picking up 3-0, 2-0 and 1-0 wins. Such a record points towards further victory for the Blues, but if we consider how the game went when the pair met less than two weeks ago in conjunction with the efforts of both in their most recent fixtures, it is not all that difficult to envisage a different outcome.
After all, though they did lose by a goal to nil, in the most recent meeting between these two, Spurs were arguably the better team in terms of chances created, while they carried a significant threat on the break. With a better end-product and the result could have been very different.
Improving on the road?
Since Antonio Conte took the reins, though their results on the road haven’t been outstanding, Tottenham have improved from an offensive point of view. OK, five goals in four travelling Premier League games doesn’t sound like anything to write home about, but they have been much more creative, posting very impressive xG numbers of 2.4, 2.0 and 3.7 in their last three league matches away from the comforts of home.
Another big positive is the recent resurgence of talisman Harry Kane, who was outstanding last time out, both creatively and in front of goal himself. Moreover, it really must be said that the way in which the Lilywhites repeatedly knocked on the door at the King Power on Wednesday night was eye-catching, and after their methods yielded reward, Conte’s men should go to West London with renewed belief.
CFC vs THFC: Where’s the bet?
Given what’s happened between the pair already this season, it would be easy to assume that another relatively straightforward Chelsea win is in the offing, but at the current odds, the home win really doesn’t appeal. Those with a tad more belief who are looking for something juicier shouldn’t be put off the visitors, who may just be at the start of a rather steep incline.
They are coming off the back of probably their best attacking effort yet under Conte, while their main man is now playing with the vigour of old. Combine this with the fact that Chelsea have had their confidence dented over the last week, coming up short against relatively weak opposition last time out, and odds of 4/1 on an away win start to appeal. More appealing still is a price of 14/5 (almost 3/1) on ‘Tottenham Draw No Bet’, which for those who don’t know, pays out on the away win but provides a refund in the event of a draw.
Kane to keep it up
We all know that by his own lofty standards, Harry Kane has been well off the pace this season, but in recent weeks, the forward has started to seem more like his own self. He netted against both Palace and Southampton after Christmas, while his timely finish off the bench spared Spurs’ blushes in the FA Cup recently.
The man who captained England to a Euros final last summer took his tally to five for the season on Wednesday night with a textbook finish. More than that, he played like a striker who was hungry for goals, and we all know how deadly a hungry Harry Kane can be.
At the end of the day, odds of 2/1 for a goal anytime, for a player who averages 3.55 shots per 90, as well as 0.52 expected goals per 90, is simply too good to miss. If you want an ‘anytime Scorer’ on Sunday afternoon, Kane’s your man. So these are the betting tips for this CFC vs THFC preview:
- Tottenham draw no bet @ best odds of 14/5 with BetVictor.
- Harry Kane to score at any time @ a biggest of 2/1 with BetVictor.
Bradley Gibbs is an experienced football writer. He is an expert analyst on Premier League, and all global football leagues & tournaments, for Just Bookies. Bradley has been published by many respected outlets, including USA Betting and the Racing & Football Outlook. He has also written betting strategy guides.