Chelsea vs Tottenham EPL Match Preview & Betting Tips

Cristian RomeroThe big games at the end of the Premier League campaign just keep on coming as on Thursday, Chelsea take on Tottenham at Stamford Bridge (7.30pm). Following their defeat in the North London Derby last weekend, Spurs will be looking to make up ground in the race for fourth, while the hosts search for a first win in four as they battle to secure a Europa Conference League spot. Read on for our CFC vs THFC big-game preview with betting tips.

As they went into the break at Villa Park two goals down on Saturday, it looked for all to see that Mauricio Pochettino’s men were headed towards a third straight defeat, but thanks to a second-half fight back, the Blues stopped the rot. They are five points behind Newcastle in seventh, but they do have a game in hand, so their involvement in European football next season is not yet out of the question. If they do want to stand any chance of competing on the continent when the new campaign begins, they will need to ensure that this game turns into their first win in four, following two losses and a draw.

Spurs’ own winless run continued at the weekend in what was a relatively bizarre North London Derby. Despite not playing at all badly as they controlled possession and cut out most of the running against their bitter rivals, Ange Postecoglou’s men found themselves three goals down inside the opening 40 minutes. Like their opponents here, they staged something of a comeback in the second half, scoring twice through Cristian Romero and Heung min-Son, but were unable to find a third, losing for the second game on the spin.

Goals galore for Blues at home

Much has been made about both Chelsea’s inconsistency and their lack of defensive strength this season and rightly so, though in recent weeks, they have certainly turned a corner at home, especially in the final third, as they’ve scored for fun. Sure, they still look like a team that can be got at, keeping a clean sheet in just one of their last five home games in the EPL. During that time, they have really started to click in the final third, scoring a whopping total of 17 goals. We have seen the likes of Cole Palmer, who now has 20 Premier League goals for the season, take his scoring game to the next level, netting seven goals in Chelsea’s last two on home soil.

Can the visitors THFC tighten up?

Right now, if Spurs are to turn things around and lay down a serious challenge for the top four, which is far from out of the question as far as the league table goes, then they are going to need to stop shooting themselves in the foot. Against Newcastle in their last away game, they made several defensive errors and offered simply nowhere near enough resistance, while much the same can be said for that North London Derby game last weekend. Even though Arsenal didn’t offer too much offensively, whenever the Gunners did venture forward, Spurs looked all over the place, while they continued to be very easy to get at from set pieces. They have conceded seven goals in their last two games and are now without a clean sheet in six games.

Spurs to atone for reverse fixture?

When the teams met earlier in the season, Spurs were flying high at the top of the Premier League. They surged into the lead at home to Chelsea on match-day 11, before adding a second, only to be denied by VAR. What followed was a quite sizable implosion, as Postecoglou saw two of his defenders sent off, before Chelsea fought back and eventually won the game 4-2. The Lilywhites will be out for revenge here, though they have not won at Stamford Bridge since 2018.

CFC vs THFC: Where’s the bet?

From a pure predictive point of view, it’s not overly easy to fancy either side here, such has been the lack of defensive solidity shown by both in recent times. Though, at the currently available odds with the bookies, the away win may just be slightly generously priced.

Sure, the visitors will need to tighten up at the back, but we know they have got the firepower to do plenty of damage at Stamford Bridge. If we compare how they just fared against the Gunners with how Chelsea did less than a week before, it’s not too difficult to think that Postecoglou’s men deserve a little more respect than they’re currently getting.

They did lose the North London Derby and they did indeed concede three goals, but one came directly from a counter-attack that followed a dubious penalty decision which really ought to have been better reviewed by VAR, while one was a rather unfortunate own goal.

What’s more, Spurs dictated that game for large parts, creating more than their opponents in terms of both shots and xG, creating 1.27 more than the Gunners. In stark contrast, Chelsea received an absolute battering by Arsenal last week, conceding five goals, scoring none, creating considerably less than their opponents. Perhaps we should not ignore these relevant performances.

This is typically the sort of game where Spurs have thrived too. We know that Chelsea will look to dominate, and they will create chances, that’s a given. They have arguably been worse at the back than Spurs this season, while they’ve often fallen victim to teams that are deadly on the break, which Thursday’s visitors certainly are.

All in all, this is no easy game to call and we could see another high-scoring fixture play out, but at the odds, the visitors probably merit a little more respect and as such, they look a value bet to get the win. So for the betting tips for this CFC vs THFC preview, we will go with this one:

  • Tottenham to win @ best odds of 2/1 with Bet365.