This Saturday 3pm fixture involves a struggling Everton team travelling to take on Crystal Palace, who have been resurgent under Roy Hodgson. Can the visitors get what would be a huge result? Or will the hosts propel themselves further into the mid-table safety zone? This CPFC vs EFC preview with its betting tips plans to answer those questions.
Towards the end of Patrick Vieira’s ultimately unsuccessful reign, Palace were making little progress and edging closer and closer to the relegation battle. The decision to relieve the Frenchman of his duties and reappoint Roy Hodgson has turned out to be a positive one, as the Eagles have bounced back in recent weeks, winning three games on spin, thus pushing well clear of danger. After hammering Leeds, before going to Southampton and returning with all three points, the South Londoners ought to approach Saturday’s game in confident mood.
In contrast, last time out, things went from bad to worse for the Toffees, who are now above the dreaded drop-zone on goal difference alone. For a short while, it did look as though Sean Dyche had steadied the Goodison Park ship. After back-to-back defeats against Manchester United and Fulham, Everton are right back in trouble and at the wrong end of the table. They need to bounce back and fast.
CPFC hard to beat at home
The hosts, Crystal Palace, have only played one home game since Roy Hodgson returned, but they got job the done, beating Leicester by two goals to one. It is a result that does not illustrate just how one-sided the win was either. On that occasion, they gave very little away, surrendering just three shots and only 0.24 expected goals, while they fired off no less than 31 shots at the other end, producing a pleasing 2.47 xG: Dominant indeed.
Even before Hodgson returned, this was not a team that was easy to face at home, even if they did at times underwhelm in terms of offensive end-product. Saturday’s hosts have lost only two Premier League games at home in 2023, losing exclusively to teams that currently occupy one of the top five positions in the EPL. In fact, not a single team that currently resides in the bottom-half has left Selhurst Park with maximum points this season.
Everton road wins few and far between
A lack of results on the road has contributed to Everton’s downfall quite heavily this term. They come into this fixture off the back of losing their most recent away fixture, while they have not won in the Premier League away from the comforts of Goodison Park since beating Southampton back in early October. So bad have they been on the road that it is somewhat remarkable that they only have the 19th worst away record in the division. The team now managed by Sean Dyche has picked up just nine travelling points this season.
In terms of recent away form, Saturday’s visitors come into this fixture having held off both Chelsea and Nottingham Forest, drawing 2-2 on both occasions. Such form is relatively encouraging, and if you use that as a basis, you could not completely write them off here, but the overall picture painted by the Merseyside men this season doesn’t exactly inspire a great deal of confidence.
Home teams thrive in this fixture
This is very much a fixture that favours the home team. Each of the last four renewals has gone the way of the team playing at home, with Everton winning two and Crystal Palace winning two. In fact, there has not been an away winner of this fixture since the Toffees came out on top at Selhurst Park back in 2020. The pair have met five times since then.
Earlier in the campaign, Everton won by three goals to nil at Goodison Park, thanks to goals from Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Dwight McNeil and the now departed Anthony Gordon.
Plump for home goals in the betting
It is hard to put anybody off betting on a home win here. Everton struggled to get going against Fulham, who face Leeds on Saturday, last weekend, while they looked like a side that was there for the taking at Old Trafford recently too. Couple this with how rejuvenated the hosts have looked in recent weeks, and a case can certainly be made for a Crystal Palace win at around evens with the superior UK bookies.
However, at a slightly bigger price, ‘Crystal Palace to Score Over 1.5 Goals’ appeals more. Hodgson has really galvanised the attacking talent at Selhurst Park, of which there is plenty. Many people thought that this Palace side had a lot of offensive potential, while it was felt for quite some time that the performances did not match the firepower. Well, they have turned it on of late, and the likes of Michael Olise, Eberechi Eze and Odsonne Edouard all now look much more threatening. Olise and Eze, who in the last three games have registered a combined total of three assists and three goals, have been particularly impressive under Hodgson. Such players should offer a serious threat against an Everton back-line that is starting to look a little worse for wear.
The hosts have scored at least twice in each of their last three, while they have produced very impressive underlying numbers too, averaging 18.6 shots per game, not to mention 2.21 xG. In contrast, the visitors have conceded two or more in each of their last two games, as well as in three of their last four, while they have shipped multiple goals in seven travelling matches in all competitions. So the betting tip for this CPFC vs EFC preview is:
- Crystal Palace to score over 1.5 goals (in the total home goals market) @ best odds of 11/8 with William Hill, Betfred or BetVictor.
Bradley Gibbs is an experienced football writer. He is an expert analyst on Premier League, and all global football leagues & tournaments, for Just Bookies. Bradley has been published by many respected outlets, including USA Betting and the Racing & Football Outlook. He has also written betting strategy guides.