The Merseyside Derby has traditionally been a game where you can ignore form and look for a close and fierce encounter. In recent times, however, Everton‘s record against old rivals Liverpool has been a poor one.
Once again, the Toffees appear set for a tough campaign and may yet be sucked into another relegation battle. The Reds also started slowly but that 9-0 demolition of Bournemouth at the weekend may just have kickstarted their season. This is the Saturday lunchtime game, live on BT Sport with a 12.30pm kick off, so let’s see what to make of it in this EFC vs LFC preview with betting tips.
It is no great surprise to see Liverpool installed as odds-on favourites and most outlets are quoting just 4/11 on the away win. The draw follows at 4/1 while victory for Everton comes in at 7/1.
Both sides were in action in midweek. Everton came away from Elland Road with a draw, despite home side Leeds United enjoying the bulk of possession. Liverpool hosted Newcastle United a day later and left it late to snatch a 2-1 win after falling behind.
Everton’s weak form makes the away side the obvious favourites but, if you disregard the 9-0 hammering of a weak Bournemouth side, Liverpool have been far from convincing.
Liverpool’s Mohammed Salah has two goals so far this season and he kicks off the first goalscorer betting at 7/2. It’s a respectable return after five games, but the Egyptian international would have been disappointed to draw a blank in the Reds’ last two home matches. Roberto Firmino scored Liverpool’s first goal in their midweek win over Newcastle and he’s available at 5/1.
Everton’s first representative in this market is new signing Neal Maupay. There had been some controversy over his availability in midweek, but he should certainly feature on Saturday and he is listed at 11/1 to open the scoring.
A more tempting option within the Toffees camp is Anthony Gordon who scored the opener against Leeds and is available this time at best industry odds of 14/1.
In terms of longer odds options from within the Liverpool squad, Trent Alexander-Arnold may be one to watch. He can be a threat from set pieces, he has scored twice this season – if you include the Community Shield game – and he’s a tempter at 20/1.
Our regular round-up of side markets continues with Both Teams to Score which is available for Saturday at 4/5 in most places. Those who prefer to take the ‘no’ punt on BTTS will see that figure climb to best industry odds of 11/10.
Next is the Total Goals market where a stake Over the 2.5 line will currently be met at 8/15 but, if we push that up to Over 3.5, the numbers climb to 11/8. Those who expect a dour 90 minutes at Goodison Park could look to take Under 2.5 goals and this is on offer at a top price of 6/4.
That leaves us to list some Correct Score suggestions and a comfortable afternoon for Liverpool could see the 3-1 away win drop in at a top price of 11/1. A narrow, 2-1 victory for Everton is quoted at 22/1 while the 2-2 draw can be backed at a best of 20/1.
Our EFC vs LFC Betting Tips Verdict for this EPL Preview
This is certainly tougher to call than the odds suggest. Everton may look doomed to another season in the bottom half of the table but Liverpool are hardly setting the division alight. The Reds have won their last two, but one of those victories was against struggling Bournemouth while the team needed to go beyond the allotted injury time to find the winner on Wednesday.
Towards the end of last season when Everton were battling relegation, they had a tendency to raise their game against the bigger sides. Wins over Manchester United and Chelsea are evidence of that trend.
We could see a similar pattern this Saturday and it is seriously tempting to get behind the draw. The feeling is, however that Liverpool will edge it and it’s time for Mohamed Salah to step up in that respect. After scoring none of his side’s previous 11 goals, Salah is due and his quality should come through in this type of game.
This preview will also look for a high scoring encounter by backing Over 3.5 goals. Everton’s results across the season so far aren’t necessarily a good indicator but trends are there to be broken. With both teams keen to prove a point, this has the potential to be one of the more open and attacking Merseyside Derbies of recent years. So these are our betting tips for this EFC vs LFC Premier League game: