Everton look to regain the winning thread on Wednesday evening as they host Tottenham in the FA Cup at Goodison Park (8.15pm; TV: Live on BT Sport). After a rough spell, the visitors bounced back at the weekend and will now be looking to put together a winning run.
Read on for Just Bookies’ EFC vs THFC preview with betting tips and FA Cup match odds.
Just a single point separates this pair in the Premier League table, though they have had contrasting experiences in recent weeks. It has been all doom and gloom at Tottenham, who seemed to be going stale under Jose Mourinho prior to beating West Brom on Sunday afternoon. That victory, following three straight defeats, may have improved the confidence of the Lilywhites, as will the return of key figure Harry Kane, though it will be interesting to see how they fare against better opposition.
As far as the hosts are concerned, things have gone reasonably well of late. Carlo Ancelotti’s men have lost just one of their seven in all competitions, while they come into this match unbeaten in two Premier League fixtures. Conceding three at Old Trafford probably wasn’t part of the plan, but the way the Toffees dug deep to fight back not once, but twice, to secure a point was admirable, as was the effort they delivered to beat a useful Leeds side at Elland Road a week ago.
Everton at home vs Spurs away
Let’s look at the home efforts of Everton in the Premier League, as well as the away form of Spurs in the same competition.
Everton started the campaign by doing well at home, securing two wins and draw in their first three at Goodison Park. However, things have gone a bit downhill since, winning only two of their last seven on their own patch. They are not an easy side to get the better of, as only one defeat by more than single goal suggests, but they have started to find it tough to get their noses in front. This might have something to do with a relative lack of creativity. In their last three at home Everton have posted expected goals for figures of 0.3, 0.6 and 1.0. They have also registered just seven shots on target in those three matches.
Tottenham have done OK on the road this term, at least in terms of points accumulated, but their recent efforts have been lacklustre. Like Everton, Mourinho’s men have struggled to be particularly creative. In their last three on the road, Spurs have posted xG for figures of 0.5, 1.2 and 0.4, which means that they can probably count themselves lucky to have scored four goals.
Difficult fixture historically for the hosts
Tottenham are a team that Everton have really struggled to overcome in recent years. They did win in North London back on the opening day of the current campaign, but that was a rare victory against Spurs, who have avoided defeat in all but one of the last 16 renewals of this fixture.
Interestingly, at least one team has failed to score in each of the last two renewals of this fixture, while neither side has scored more than once since they met back in early 2019. Furthermore, more than one goal has been scored by either side in only two of the last seven meetings at Goodison.
How will the teams line up?
Given that neither side have any chance of challenging for the league title, it is likely that we’ll see two strong sides line-up at Goodison Park. Key players such as Richarlison, Calvert-Lewin and James Rodriguez all featured from the start in the last round, so it would be a surprise if any of that trio missed out here.
Tottenham boss Mourinho can scarcely afford another below par performance, so the chance of a less than full strength Spurs side seems very unlikely. Though they only faced a side that is likely to get relegated from the Premier League, the return of Harry Kane clearly galvanised Tottenham at the weekend and thus it would be hugely surprising if the Tottenham talisman were to be omitted from Wednesday’s line-up. World beater Gareth Bale is still yet to establish himself as Premier League starter under Mourinho but has featured in each of Spurs’ FA Cup games this season, so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see the Welshman get some vital playing time.
Lack of goals?
In the betting, ‘Both Teams to Score – No’ catches the eye at the big British bookmakers’ prices. It is no secret that in Calvert-Lewin and Harry Kane in their ranks, both teams have firepower, but their overall efforts suggest that a low-scoring affair, one where at least one side fails to notch inside 90 minutes, may be more likely than we might initially think.
As touched on in this preview above, creativity has been a bit of an issue for both teams in respective home and away games of late. Moreover, both teams have scored in just three of Everton’s last eight at home in all competitions. Tottenham have both scored and conceded in none of their last three overall. The fact that a bet on ‘Both Teams to Score’ had yielded a profit in just two of Everton and Tottenham’s last six combined cup matches further fuels the selection. So this is the recommended betting tip:
- Bet on ‘Both Teams to Score – No’ @ evens with BetVictor or Betfred.
- Also see FA Cup tournament outright winner odds.
Compare EFC vs THFC Match Winner Betting Odds from Big Bookies
Bradley Gibbs is an experienced football writer. He is an expert analyst on Premier League, and all global football leagues & tournaments, for Just Bookies. Bradley has been published by many respected outlets, including USA Betting and the Racing & Football Outlook. He has also written betting strategy guides.