F1: Canadian Grand Prix Betting Tips & Preview

Last updated March 4th, 2021

Two weeks after Nico Rosberg’s victory in Monaco, the Formula 1 paddock heads across the Atlantic for the Canadian Grand Prix (Race: Sunday, 7pm BST, live on BBC1 and Sky Sports) at the Circuit Giles Villeneuve in Montreal.

All four F1 betting tips that were advised in our Monaco Grand Prix preview won. Now we work out the best value bets in order to maintain that rich vein of form in Canada.

Rosberg’s Mercedes team became embroiled in a war of words with their counterparts at Ferrari and Red Bull over the Monaco weekend after it was revealed that they had conducted a secret tyre test for Pirelli using their 2013 car. An FIA International Tribunal will decide what punishment, if any, to hand out to the team.

Lewis Hamilton
Track specialist Lewis Hamilton looks a good bet at 2/1 to take pole position

Reigning three-time World Champion Sebastian Vettel followed Rosberg home in Monaco, extending his championship lead to 21 points as his two main rivals, Fernando Alonso and Kimi Raikonnen, finished outside the top six. Lewis Hamilton is currently fourth in the championship, some 45 points removed from Vettel.

Like Monaco, the Circuit Giles Villenueve is a road circuit, but unlike Monaco it provides plenty of opportunities for overtaking, with at least three or four potential passing spots. It usually provides an highly entertaining race, with safety cars and variable weather often disrupting the order.

Current weather forecasts for this weekend suggest that rain is possible in and around the times qualifying and the race are due to be run.

Pirelli has elected to persevere with the current, much-maligned tyre construction for this weekend’s race. But all teams will be required to use the first practice session on Friday to test the new tyres that are now most likely to see their first use at the British Grand Prix at the end of the month.


Vettel has taken pole position in each of the last two Canadian Grand Prix, but Hamilton looks the better bet to put himself at the head of the field in qualifying for this year’s race.

Mercedes have shown superb pace in qualifying so far this year, securing pole position in each of the last four Grand Prix. Although Hamilton’s teammate Rosberg has been the man on pole in the last three races, Hamilton has proved himself to be a master of the Montreal track, having qualified on pole position in three of his five outings at the circuit.

Paul Di Resta has a solid qualifying record at the Canadian Grand Prix, having qualified in eighth last year and eleventh on his debut in 2011, while his Force India team have had at least one car in the top ten of two of the last three Canadian Grand Prix, including a double top ten qualifying performance in 2010.

Force India have shown good race pace this year, but have also performed well in qualifying, with at least one car reaching the final qualifying session in five of the six races to date. Di Resta has out-qualified his teammate Adrian Sutil in four of the six races and with his solid record in Canada can be fancied to make the top ten shootout on Saturday.

The Race

McLaren have won each of the last three Canadian Grand Prix, but seem unlikely to make it four in a row having struggled for pace so far this season. They were, however, a little racier in Monaco and even though they will not be challenging right at the sharp end in Canada, they could well pick up some good points, especially if the race is disrupted by safety car periods.

Sergio Perez drove superbly for Sauber in last year’s Canadian Grand Prix, securing the second podium of his career with a third place finish in his first ever race at the circuit. The young Mexican already has one top six finish to his name this season and has the necessary ability to repeat the trick in Canada.

Hamilton has won three of the last five Canadian Grand Prix, but Mercedes are again likely to struggle with tyre wear issues. In the circumstances, it is difficult to tip him or the team for a strong result and I do not think he looks value in the F1 Canadian Grand Prix betting odds for the race itself.

A look at the historical results at the circuit shows that both Alonso and Raikonnen have won previously in Montreal, but Alonso has managed just one podium finish in his last five appearances in Canada, while Raikonnen, too, has been very inconsistent since winning the race in 2005.

The Circuit Giles Villenueve has also not been particularly kind to Red Bull, with neither the team nor either of their current drivers having recorded victory at the island track.

Perhaps the only consistent occurrence at the circuit has been the deployment of the safety car, which has been called into action in seven of the last 11 Canadian Grand Prix. Collisions can be plentiful and with the circuit tightly packed in, the safety car is often required to help the marshals safely clear up the resulting debris.

F1 Canadian Grand Prix Betting Tips Verdict

  • Back Lewis Hamilton to qualify on pole position @ 2/1 (this betting market may also be called “fastest qualifier”) with BetVictor, Bet365 or Ladbrokes.
  • Bet on Paul Di Resta to reach qualifying session three @ 4/6 with Ladbrokes.
  • Back Sergio Perez to finish in the top six @ 7/2 with Bet365, Coral, Paddy Power or William Hill.
  • Bet on the safety car to be deployed @ best odds of 1/2 at SkyBet.

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