Last updated August 14th, 2020
The 7f Group 2 Hungerford Stakes on Saturday (3.35pm Newbury) looks a competitive affair at face value but JustBookies’ big-race preview has found a bet that appears a standout on form.
Before reaching our Hungerford Stakes betting tips’ verdict, we will take a gander at the form and chances of the most interesting runners.
Dream Of Dreams is the best horse in the race strictly on the book. The distance, going and level of the Hungerford Stakes will not be a problem and the Sir Michael Stoute-trained runner ticks many of the boxes.
Dream of Dreams has won five races from 26 starts but the standout form was when runner-up to Hello Youmzain at Royal Ascot in June when beaten a head into second place in the Diamond Jubilee Stakes. The winner franked the form by running a cracker to be second in a Group 1 in France the other day.
One Master was more than three lengths adrift in sixth place and while that horse does not run here, there is a line through him with Glorious Journey that gives Stoute’s charge the definite advantage. Dream Of Dreams will be very hard to beat and champion jockey Oisin Murphy must be looking forward to the ride.
Glorious Journey must deal with getting no allowances and a penalty so carries at least three pounds more than the rest of the field. Giving up to 9lbs to proven Group 2 horses looks too difficult but making the payout places is not beyond this gelded son of Dubawi.
Glorious Journey was out of his depth in the Group 2 Lennox Stakes at Goodwood last month and when well beaten by One Master in a race at the highest level in France last October. That form means that Glorious Journey is behind Dream Of Dreams on ratings. However, Glorious Journey won the Hungerford stakes 12 months ago but this year’s renewal looks stronger so a back-to-back success looks unlikely.
Threat by name but sadly not quite by nature for this race because of the strength of the opposition at the head of the betting market. The race looks strong for a Group 2 contest and it could take a Group 1 effort to be first past the post.
However, one proviso is that Threat is aged three and receives up to 9lb from the featured runners highlighted above. That advantage may not be enough to bridge the form gap but Threat has the potential to make the frame. The horse won three races from six starts as a juvenile, including Group 2 races at York and Newmarket. However, the has not progressed sufficiently from two to three to beat the horses proven at three and older.
Surf Dancer has no more than place claims on the official ratings. On the plus side, the colt is aged three like Threat so receives 9lb from Glorious Journey and 6lb from Dream Of Dreams. However, that advantage may not be enough to bridge the form gap with the more fancied runners.
Surf Dancer was a decisive winner of a Listed race at York in July but that could be the horse’s class and winning a Group 2 looks a big ask. Trainer William Haggas’ inmate could still be improving but progression to winning the Hungerford Stakes is not feasible. Even so, the weight-for-age allowance could see the horse get in the mix for the places.
Namos is something of an unknown quantity despite 10 career starts. The horse is trained in Germany and has had just one run in Britain. That experience does not warrant an official rating so the form is difficult to assess. The horse was beaten into eighth in the July Cup. He did lose a shoe in that event, so could be a fair bit better and connections are keeping the faith.
Namos has won three Group 3 races in Germany but has struggled at a higher level. The betting market could be informative but the evidence suggests a trip that will not bring the first prize. The four-year-old colt receives no allowances and other runners can be more competitive.
Our Preview’s Hungerford Stakes Betting Tips Verdict
Glorious Journey won the race last year, there is only one previous multiple winner and Charlie Appleby’s representative appears below the level of recent winners. Threat has not quite built on the potential shown as a juvenile and Surf Dancer is unproven at the level. Namos has not won in the class at home in Germany, though he could run better here than in the July Cup when he had excuses.
The Diamond Jubilee Stakes from at Ascot in June could be the strongest in the context of this Hungerford Stakes. DREAM OF DREAMS was only a strong-finishing head away from winning one of the most important sprints of the season. That form looks rock solid and the extra furlong here at Newbury should be right up his street. Dream Of Dreams has won over the distance and can do so again this weekend.
- So our Hungerford Stakes betting tips’ recommendation is to bet on Dream Of Dreams to win @ current best odds of 5/2 with Betfred. Keep an eye on the odds comparison table below for the updated betting moves.
Compare Hungerford Stakes Betting Odds from Top Bookies
|Dream Of Dreams (drawn 2)||2/1||7/4||15/8||15/8||15/8||7/4||15/8|
|Surf Dancer (7)||11/2||5/1||5/1||5/1||5/1||11/2||5/1|
|Glorious Journey (10)||6/1||11/2||6/1||6/1||6/1||5/1||5/1|
|Pierre Lapin (6)||12/1||14/1||14/1||14/1||14/1||14/1||14/1|
|Breathtaking Look (1)||14/1||12/1||16/1||14/1||14/1||16/1||12/1|
|History Writer (5)||33/1||33/1||25/1||33/1||33/1||33/1||33/1|
|Lincoln Bright (4)||50/1||50/1||66/1||50/1||50/1||66/1||50/1|