Leicester City welcome a Tottenham Hotspur side that was afforded a rest at the weekend to the King Power Stadium on Wednesday night (7.30pm; TV: Live on BT Sport).
Can the Foxes make it three wins from three? Or will Spurs get over the disappointment of ducking out of the EFL Cup by collecting three points? Read on for our full preview of this Premier League midweek match with betting tips.
When Leicester walked away from the Etihad empty handed a few weeks ago, despite scoring three goals, it would have been easy for them to head on something of a downward spiral, though that has not happened. Instead, Brendan Rodgers’ men have shown no shortage of spirit. First up, they got the better of Liverpool, which as we all know few teams do. Even fewer keep a clean sheet against the 2020 champions. Such a result clearly acted as a springboard for further success as the Foxes were in rampant mood when hammering Watford last time out, scoring four times on the way to victory. Off the back of two very positive results, Wednesday’s hosts will fancy themselves ahead of a home game against a Spurs side that has been up and down (to put it nicely) on the road of late.
When they scored a late winner against Watford on New Year’s Day, the Tottenham boys would’ve been feeling upbeat. After all, that win at Vicarage Road signalled an eight-game unbeaten run in the league, a streak that is still alive, though following three below-par cup efforts, spirits may have dampened. Antonio Conte’s men were masters of their own downfall against Chelsea in the two-legged EFL Cup semi-final, while there was little to like about the way in which they beat Morecambe in the FA Cup. Improvement will be required if the visitors are to thrive on Wednesday, that’s for sure.
Imperious at home
It has taken some time for Rodger’s boys to get into the swing of things at home this season, but they are now in imperious form on their own patch, winning each of their last five. In those five, they have scored an impressive total of 16 goals, scoring three or more in four out of five. They’ve also recorded two clean sheets and have conceded more than once on just one occasion. OK, their recent opponents at home haven’t been of the highest calibre, with both Watford and Newcastle in the bottom four, but we shouldn’t forget than one of those victories (and one of the clean sheets) came against Liverpool. Wednesday’s hosts also beat Manchester United at this venue earlier in the campaign. It’s fair to say that the Foxes can mix it with the big boys when they’re on it.
Wins few and far between on the road
Tottenham have improved under Antonio Conte, but one area where they are yet to make much progress is away from home. Spurs have won just one of their five away matches since the Italian took charge, losing two of the other four. They are not the easiest to get the better of losing by no more than two goals, while they’re yet to lose away from home in the league under the new boss. Two goals for in three travelling Premier League games is a problem, especially if they are set on pushing for the top four.
Then again, if this preview scratches beneath the surface, Wednesday’s visitors probably have performed better than recent away results suggest. In two road games (in the league) since Christmas, the Lilywhites have scored just two goals, but they have been more creative than that, as a total of 4.4 expected goals for suggests. A total of just 0.7 xG against suggests that they have given very little away too.
Visitors not averse to a win here
The King Power is by no means an easy place to go, though in recent campaigns, Spurs have tended to do quite well at this venue. On the final day of the previous season, Tottenham returned to London with all three points thanks to 2-4 victory, while they have won two of their last three away matches against the Foxes, as well as four out of six since 2016.
In addition, the goals generally tend to arrive when this pair get down to business at the King Power. In the game mentioned above, six goals were scored, while there’s never been a game with less than two goals between Leicester and Spurs at this ground. Four of the last five have contained three or more goals.
In the betting, siding with a relatively high-scoring game in the form of ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ catches the eye. Leicester have made light work of scoring goals at home of late, while they’ve also been handy in terms of creating chances, averaging a healthy 1.76 expected goals for in their last three at the King Power. We know that Spurs haven’t scored many on the road under Conte but recent away-day efforts in the Premier League have been encouraging from a chance creation point of view. Throw in that the goals very rarely stay away when the pair clash at this venue and a punt on the overs looks a solid option.
Maddison can make it happen
If you’re interested in something more player focused, then James Maddison is not a player to shy away from in the ‘Anytime Scorer’ market, particularly at odds of 3/1. The Englishman has found some solid form in recent weeks, scoring in four of his last five, including in two of Leicester’s last three at home. Maddison averages an eye-catching 2.79 shots per 90 minutes, not to mention 0.32 expected goals. Such numbers, coupled with his recent goal-getting form, make the 25-year-old a viable bet. So these are our betting tips for this preview:
- Over 2.5 goals @ best odds of 17/20 with Betfair.
- James Maddison to score at any time @ biggest odds of 3/1 with Paddy Power or Betfair.
Bradley Gibbs is an experienced football writer. He is an expert analyst on Premier League, and all global football leagues & tournaments, for Just Bookies. Bradley has been published by many respected outlets, including USA Betting and the Racing & Football Outlook. He has also written betting strategy guides.