Norwich vs Crystal Palace EPL Match Preview & Betting Tips: Profit From Paucity of Goals

Billy GilmourAs they look to continue moving in the right direction, Norwich play host to Crystal Palace at Carrow Road on Wednesday evening (7.45pm). Can the hosts get another much-needed result? Or will the visitors put an end to the Canaries’ winning streak? Read on for our NCFC vs CPFC preview with betting tips.

For some time, it looked as though Norwich would be heading back down without a fight, but since Dean Smith took the reigns at Carrow Road, things have started to improve. So much so that Wednesday’s hosts have climbed out of the relegation zone. The job is far from done but progress is finally being made. Smith’s men come into this fixture off the back of three wins on the spin in all competitions.

For the visitors, things haven’t been going too well of late. Yes, they progressed in the FA Cup at the weekend, beating Hartlepool, a win that should have lifted spirits slightly, but Palace are now without a league win in three, two of which they’ve lost. Previously a match against Norwich, even on the road, would have represented a solid opportunity to bounce back, though that may no longer be the case, such has been the improvement from the hosts of late.

Attacking woes at home

The hosts arrive here off the back of some pleasing results, so they will be confident. However, if we break down their recent home efforts, it is not easy to be optimistic about their chances. Yes, they scored twice at home to Everton last time out, but there was an element of luck involved, as they produced a rather meagre 0.6 expected goals for.

Prior to that, the Canaries had failed to score in four home games and it is not overly difficult to see why when they averaged just 0.75 xG for during that time. Wednesday’s hosts have failed to score in six out of 11 at Carrow Road this season.

Wins few and far between for Eagles on the road

The Eagles have found it tough to be at their best on the road this season, winning just one out of ten. They have picked up a point in four of the other nine away-day fixtures, meaning they are not the worst on the road, though only three Premier League teams have collected fewer travelling points than Patrick Vieira’s men, and only Burnley have won fewer games. What’s more, Palace are yet to pick up a win away against a team that currently resides in the bottom half of the league, which doesn’t exactly bode well.

Eagles dominating Canaries

The recent head-to-head record between these two doesn’t reflect well on the hosts, it must be said. Since 2015, the pair have faced off on five occasions, with the spoils going the way of Norwich in none of those five. Palace have won four of their last five matches against the Canaries, including when the teams met earlier in the campaign.

Just over five weeks ago, Norwich travelled to Selhurst Park, where they left empty-handed following a 3-0 defeat. On that occasion, the Eagles were rampant, though the pair have moved in opposite directions since. Having returned from recent injury, Billy Gilmour should be a huge influence in midfield for Norwich. It will be interesting to see how things pan out this time.

NCFC vs CPFC Suggested Wagers

Given their recent upturn in fortunes, the hosts do make some appeal at the prices. At the very least, against a Palace side that is anything but prolific on the road, Dean Smith’s men warrant slightly more respect, so those fancying the home win shouldn’t be put off at odds of at odds of 5/2. However, at the prices, the preferred option is ‘Both Teams to Score – NO’, which given what we’ve seen from this pair in their respective home and away games, probably ought to be a tad shorter, and may well be come Wednesday evening.

As touched on in this preview above, Norwich have had no easy time scoring goals at home, failing to score in six out of 11 when surrounded by the comforts of home. They’ve also struggled at times to be creative, averaging 0.91 expected goals per 90 minutes at Carrow Road. Only Burnley have created less at home in terms of xG.

As for the visitors, well only four teams in the league have scored fewer way goals than the Eagles, who average just one per game, which based on xG, is probably a bit more than they deserve, at least that’s what an average of 0.81 suggests. Only Newcastle have recorded fewer expected goals for than Crystal Palace away from home in the Premier League this season.

To further bolster the claims of the selection, both teams have scored in just 32% of Norwich’s matches in the Premier League this season, as well as in just 40% of Crystal Palace’s away fixtures. In addition, the Norwich boys currently rank as the fourth worst in the league for both shots and shots on target registered at home, while the Eagles are currently the worst team in the league when it comes to shots for on the road, as well as the worst for shots on target. Such stats don’t exactly point towards a goal-filled game, that’s for sure. So it just one solid betting tip recommendation for this preview:

  • Both Teams to Score – NO @ best odds of 21/20 with BetVictor.