Sussex Stakes Preview & Betting Tips: Clash of the Guineas Winners

Last updated July 29th, 2020

Tregoning: Sussex Stakes Preview & TipsA select field of seven go to post for the Group 1 Sussex Stakes 2020 over a mile, featuring the mouth-watering clash of the English and Irish 2000 Guineas winners (3.15 Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood, live on ITV)

Siskin is unbeaten in five starts and has amassed £384,000 in prize money. The horse produced a career best rating in winning the Irish 2,000 Guineas in June. There were six horses trained by Aidan O’Brien in the race who appeared to compete as a team. That may not be the case but Siskin was short of room and deprived of a clear run. However, he was switched and quickened inside the final furlong to win the race by one-and-three-quarter lengths from Vatican City, one of the O’Brien contingent. Siskin was clearly the best horse in the race.

Siskin became prominent in the betting for that Classic after winning his four starts as a juvenile. The best performance on ratings was a Group 2 win at the Curragh last June. The son of US-based sire First Defence ended his two-year-old season by winning over six furlongs at Group 1 level last August. However, Siskin does not have the highest rating in the Sussex Stakes and could be a vulnerable favourite.

Mohaather is aged four so carries 8lb more than Siskin and the other three-year-olds. Trainer Marcus Tregoning’s colt has the joint-highest official rating and on the figures is 4lb ahead of Siskin. He continues to progress and there could be more improvement to come after his career-best performance at Ascot last time, where the horse won the Summer Mile. The key form guide is the Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot. Mohaather finished seventh, five lengths adrift at level weights of Circus Maximus who also runs in the Sussex Stakes off the same weight.

The 2,000 Guineas at Newmarket often proves to be the best Flat race of the season on future ratings. Kameko won the race on good to firm ground by a neck from Wichita who reopposes here once again. The horse travelled strongly throughout and the win prompted a run in the Derby. It was an unusual race in that the winner, Serpentine, was given an easy lead and didn’t come back to the field. Kameko didn’t appear to get the trip and a return to a mile could pay dividends. The older horses may struggle to beat Kameko with his 8lb weight-for-age allowance.

Circus Maximus should have the measure of Mohaather on Royal Ascot form but beating the three-year-olds who receive 8lb may be a tough ask. Wichita found Kameko too strong in the 2,000 Guineas even though the horse only went down by a neck. Vatican City finished one-and-three-quarter lengths behind Siskin in the 2,000 Guineas and will struggle to reverse the form. San Donato could be over-priced. He was runner-up to Mohaather at Ascot on his seasonal debut and will improve for that pipe-opener.

Our Preview’s 2020 Sussex Stakes Betting Tips’ Verdict

The main issue is whether any of the four-year-olds are good enough to beat the Classic generation. Siskin may not have the ability to take advantage of the weight-for-age allowance. Vatican City and Wichita have not quite shown enough to win at this level. However, Kameko has won a Classic over one mile and ran quite well in the Derby. Despite reservations about the ground, trainer Andrew Balding’s stable star looks interesting with race conditions in his favour.

  • So JustBookies’ betting tip for this Sussex Stakes preview is to back Kameko to win @ current best odds of 9/2 with Betfair or William Hill.

Compare Sussex Stakes Betting Odds from Top UK Bookies

3.15pm Wednesday at Goodwood; Group 1; 1m; Each-Way Place Terms: 1/4 odds 1,2.
Bet365BetfredWilliam HillPaddy PowerBetfairBetVictorBoylesports
Siskin (drawn 1)5/2 9/4 5/2 2/1 2/1 9/4 15/8
Mohaather (4)3/1 5/2 11/4 3/1 11/4 11/4 11/4
Kameko (2)6/1 11/2 11/2 6/1 6/1 11/2 11/2
Circus Maximus (5)7/1 13/2 7/1 6/1 6/1 13/2 13/2
Wichita (7)7/1 11/2 6/1 7/1 13/2 13/2 6/1
Vatican City (6)18/1 16/1 18/1 16/1 16/1 18/1 16/1
San Donato (3)66/1 50/1 66/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1