Tottenham vs Man City FA Cup Match Preview & Betting Tips: Home In On Goals

Kevin De BruyneTottenham take on Manchester City in the FA Cup on Friday (8pm). Can the visitors finally hurt Spurs at their new home? Or will it be more of the same from the hosts, who in recent seasons have enjoyed hosting Pep Guardiola’s men? Read on for our THFC vs MCFC preview with betting tips.

It is two games against Manchester teams on the bounce for Ange Postecoglou and Spurs, as Friday’s hosts go into this FA Cup match off the back of playing Manchester United in the Premier League last time out. They could only draw that game, but it is fair to say that they were on top throughout, turning in a promising performance, especially when we consider that they are missing some key personnel. Spurs are now unbeaten in three, while they have a fantastic recent record against Manchester City at home, which should spark no shortage of confidence in the home dressing room ahead of this game.

The visitors will turn up at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in fine spirits too, as they’ve been in red-hot form of late, winning each of their last seven games in all competitions. Despite being behind well into the second half of their game against Newcastle a fortnight ago, the Citizens got the job done. That was thanks in no small part to the return of Kevin De Bruyne, who has given an already thriving team a huge boost by returning to full fitness. Pep Guardiola will now be keen for his team to improve their recent fortunes at this venue.

THFC happy at home

Bar a minor blip at the end of November and start of December, Spurs have looked very comfortable at home. They have won each of their last four home games in all competitions, scoring ten goals and conceding only three in the process. The way in which they dismantled a side of Newcastle’s calibre, winning 4-1 in December showed just how strong Postecoglou’s men can be on home soil.

Naturally, this will be tougher, and they are without a few key players, with captain Son Heung-min away at the Asian Cup, while both Pape Sarr and Yves Bissouma are also on international duty at the African Cup of Nations. On the plus side, the hosts now have their very solid defence back together, thanks to both Cristian Romero and Micky van de Ven regaining full fitness, while January signing Radu Dragusin adds further security.

MCFC less than infallible on the road

Man City are in fine form. Even away from the comforts of the Etihad, Guardiola’s men have won each of their last five in all competitions, but they have not always been foot-perfect during that time. They struggled to contain a counter-attacking Newcastle team last time out, conceding two goals and several other high-quality chances. They couldn’t keep Everton out prior to that. In fact, domestically, the Man City team are without a clean sheet in their last five. During that run, they have conceded at least two goals against Newcastle and Chelsea, while despite only conceding one away against Villa, they gave away 2.06 xG. So don’t be surprised if the hosts have a major say in this one, at least offensively.

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium not a happy hunting ground

Guardiola’s City team has a promising record at most venues, but one place where they have had no joy is at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The pair first met at this venue back in 2019, when Spurs won by a goal to nil. They have since won four straight home games against Manchester City, scoring six goals in the process. Better still, in those five games at this stadium, they have conceded no goals. Will we see more of the same? Or can the visitors finally break their duck?

Home goals the way to go

In their current form, of course the visitors, Manchester City, are going to come into this game as hot favourites. They may well oblige, especially now that their creator-in-chief is fit again, but they likely won’t have it all their own way. So much so that at the prices with the bookies, the best bet appears to be ‘Tottenham to Score Over 1.5 Goals’.

We’ve seen this Spurs side be a real threat on the break against teams, which bodes well ahead of a game against a Manchester City squad that will commit bodies forward and has struggled to guard against the break in recent times. Moreover, this is a home team that knows how to score goals, one that won’t just sit back and look to grind it out, but one that will break with speed at every given opportunity.

Sure, Son is a big miss, but Richarlison has been in strong scoring form of late, while the pace of Timo Werner and Brennan Johnson should be a real asset against a team that plays a very high back-line. After all, when the teams met at the Etihad back at the start of December, as dominant as Guardiola’s team were in terms of possession, they simply could not offer the resistance necessary at the back, conceding three goals. Such form bodes well for home goals here.

As the odds suggest, the visitors are firm favourites here and it would be little surprise if they got the job done, despite their poor record at this venue, but that doesn’t change the fact that the home goals are generously priced. So for the betting tips for this THFC vs MCFC FA Cup match preview, we like this one:

  • Tottenham to Score Over 1.5 Goals @ best odds of 13/8 with Bet365 or Betfred.