Wolves vs Fulham Preview & Betting Tips: Stats Suggest Goals

Pablo SarabiaOn Saturday afternoon (3pm), two teams pushing for the top half will clash. Wolves and Fulham go head-to-head in the reverse of a game that provided five goals in November. Will the Black Country crowd be treated to something similar? Read on for our WWFC vs FFC preview with betting tips.

After picking up three incredibly positive results, including an encouraging FA cup win over Brighton, Wolves appeared to be on the up ahead of their trip to Tyneside last weekend. Unfortunately, they could not continue moving forward. They were beaten 3-0 by a rampant Newcastle team. Back on home soil, the hosts will be looking to bounce back, and after back-to-back home wins (and clean sheets), they may fancy themselves to do just that.

For the visitors, there has been clear improvement of late, so much so that Marco Silva’s Fulham FC now appear to have a very realistic chance of finishing in the top half. Not only did they go to Old Trafford and return with all three points recently, but they also got the better of Brighton in fine style at home last time, winning 3-0. That is now three wins from four games for the Cottagers, who will go to Molineux full of confidence.

WWFC not the sturdiest at home

For some time now, Gary O’Neill’s men have been rather good at scoring goals on home soil. They have failed to find the net in just one home game this season, while they have often scored multiple goals. This is a team with no shortage of offensive talent, with Matheus Cunha and Hwang Hee-chan both excelling this term, delivering 28 goals and assists between them so far.

However, at the other end of the pitch, things have not gone so well for Wolves, even at home. The hosts did shut out Brighton in the FA Cup last time out, but before they have typically found clean sheets hard to come by at home, keeping just three in 13 Premier League games at Molineux. Will they be able to shut out an in-form Fulham attack? The stats would say probably not.

Visitors Fulham on the up offensively

For a while Fulham were struggling offensively. Failing to score against Chelsea in mid-January, the Cottagers went on a run that saw them score only one goal in four games, but they have since turned things around. The return of Alex Iwobi, who was away at the African Cup of Nations has seemingly helped Silva’s men to improve in the final third. They have scored two or more goals in four of their last five games, notching a very respectable total of 11 goals during that time.

Not only has Iwobi’s return galvanised the Fulham forward line, but young forward Rodrigo Muniz has seemingly come into his own in the last few weeks too. The Brazilian provided a goal and an assist as Fulham made light work of beating Brighton last time out. He now has five goals in his last five games, giving the Cottagers a crucial boost in the firepower department.

Little between the pair in recent times

When the teams met at Craven Cottage earlier in the season, there wasn’t much between the pair as they went blow for blow, scoring twice against each other, heading for what appeared to be a warranted 2-2 draw. Fulham stole victory at the death, courtesy of a 94th minute Willian penalty. The two renewals of this fixture before that ended all-square, while none of the last seven renewals have seen either team win by more than one goal, so it is fair to say that they are typically quite closely matched.

WWFC vs FFC: Goals on the menu at Molineux

In the early betting with the top U.K. bookmakers, ‘over 2.5 goals’ appeals. When the teams met earlier in the campaign, they were both intent on having a real good go at each other. As such an approach saw both teams excel offensively, we could see something similar here.

The hosts have been involved in plenty of high-scoring games at home this season. At least three goals went in when O’Neill’s men hosted Manchester United, Brentford (in the cup), Everton, Chelsea, Tottenham, Newcastle, Man City, Liverpool and Brighton.

What’s more, whenever teams have gone to Molineux and got on the front foot, there have been plenty of goals. After Fulham have improved offensively of late, we should not be surprised if the visitors fancy themselves to hurt the hosts here. After all, three or more goals have been scored in five of Fulham’s last six travelling games in the Premier League.

Not only were five goals scored in the reverse fixture, as both teams really did fancy themselves to make offensive headway, but we also saw 4.43 expected goals created, which tells us that no shortage of high-quality chances were created. Off the back of that, both teams should be looking to get forward here. Let’s face it, basking in defensive glory is something that neither side has done much this season.

Sarabia to score

Of course, the hosts are far more than the two offensive players mentioned in this preview above. Someone else who has offered a significant attacking threat in recent weeks is Pablo Sarabia. Now a regular in the starting XI, the Spaniard is proving to be a very handy acquisition. He has now contributed six assists and three goals in the league, and in recent weeks has been really knocking on the door. Against Spurs, he was unlucky not to score, before finding the net at home next time out against Sheffield United.

A key part of the attack, Sarabia has taken to shooting lots in recent games, shooting nine times in his last two games, while in his last five, he’s averaged 3.2 shots per game. Throw in an average of 0.31 xG during that time too and odds of 10/3 on him scoring this weekend start to look a little generous. So these are the betting tips for this WWFC vs FFC preview:

  • Over 2.5 Goals @ 17/20 with Bet365.
  • Pablo Sarabia to score at any time @ best odds of 10/3 with Bet365.