Wolves look to get their season up and running on Sunday afternoon as they host Manchester United at Molineux (4.30pm; TV: Live on Sky Sports). The visitors will be looking to remain unbeaten having picked up four points from their first two matches.
Does the home side have any chance of a good result? Read on for our WWFC vs MUFC Premier League match preview and betting tips.
It has been a somewhat underwhelming start to the new regime at Molineux. New manager Bruno Lage oversaw a single goal defeat to Leicester on the opening weekend, while it was the same outcome when his side faced Tottenham last weekend. As they were for the most part under Nuno Espirito Santo, Wolves already looked reasonably tough to face under Lage, they are probably not going to give lots away, but they’ve struggled to impose themselves, scoring no goals in 180 minutes of football.
In contrast, Manchester United, who’ve landed themselves on the front pages this week by recapturing the iconic Cristiano Ronaldo, have made a pleasing start. They beat Leeds with consummate ease on the opening day, before fighting back from a goal down to earn a point away against Southampton last time out. Now that they have increased their goal threat considerably by adding the man that has scored 479 goals in 611 first team appearances in club football, United may just be equipped to deliver a more serious title challenge than in previous seasons.
What do the underlying numbers say?
Wolves are yet to find the back of the net, but if we scratch beneath the surface, it’s easy to feel that they’ve been a tad unfortunate in that respect. They weren’t without chances against Leicester, while they missed at least once gilt-edge scoring opportunity when Adama Traore went clean through on goal against Tottenham last week. In their match against Leicester, Sunday’s hosts created 1.1 expected goals, which though not overly impressive, does tell us that they probably did enough to warrant a goal, while the 1.4 that they created against Spurs says much of the same thing. With a fraction more luck, Wolves would be arriving at this junction with two points in the bag, but such is the nature of the game.
Man Utd have performed similarly to Wolves in the xG for department, posting 1.5 against Leeds and 1.5 against Southampton, but thanks to a combination of better luck and more clinical finishing, they have scored six goals rather than zero.
Goals tend to flow for both at Molineux
Since Wolves returned to the top-flight, the pair have met five times at Molineux. In only one of those five meetings has one team failed to find the net. Both have scored at least one in each of the other four, including when they met here last season. Back in late May, Man United won by two goals to one, thanks to goals from Juan Mata and youngster Anthony Elanga, neither of whom are likely to be involved on Sunday.
WWFC vs MUFC: Where’s the bet?
At the prices, ‘Both Teams to Score’ catches the eye. Wolves are yet to score, which could be construed as a negative regarding a bet on both teams to find the net, but they’ve offered enough offensively, especially last time out against Spurs, to suggest that they’ll soon break their duck. Man Utd clearly have little problem putting the ball in the net, while the expected goals numbers of both point towards a bet on BTTS appealing at the current odds. After all, Wolves have produced an average of 1.25 xG in their opening two matches, while United’s average stands at 1.5.
If you’re looking for something a little juicier in terms of price, then don’t be put off a bet on the hosts gaining a positive result. They are yet to collect a point, but even in defeat, they’ve been anything but easy to beat, while their underlying numbers aren’t too much worse than United’s, or rather the disparity between the two probably isn’t enough to warrant such a disparity in prices.
In two matches, Wolves have produced an average expected goal difference of +0.15, which isn’t amazing but it’s certainly OK. The average xG difference of the visitors is quite a bit better at 0.80, but we saw last week that they’re anything but infallible, while the hosts were very unlucky not to take a point from their first home game against a strong Spurs side. At the end of the day, Man Utd are worthy favourites ahead of this match, but as touched on in this preview above, there’s reason to believe that the difference between the two isn’t likely to be as great as the early prices suggest. On this basis, a small bet on ‘Wolves To Win, Draw No Bet’ offers punters a slice of value.
So the betting tips for this WWFC vs MUFC preview are:
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS) @ 20/23 with Betfair.
- Wolves To Win with the Draw No Bet @ 13/5 with Paddy Power, BetVictor, Betfair.
Compare WWFC vs MUFC Outright EPL Match Winner Betting Odds from Bookies
Bradley Gibbs is an experienced football writer. He is an expert analyst on Premier League, and all global football leagues & tournaments, for Just Bookies. Bradley has been published by many respected outlets, including USA Betting and the Racing & Football Outlook. He has also written betting strategy guides.