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Breeders Cup Classic Odds
Best odds bold; Prices subject to change; Updated 2/12 12pm; Place: 1/4 odds 1,2,3.
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Breeders Cup Mile Betting
11.40pm Tonight; Best odds bold; Place: 1/4 odds 1,2,3.
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Breeders Cup betting odds, tips & history
The USA-hosted Breeders Cup is the highlight of the International Flat racing season combining mammoth prizemoney with huge opportunities to put your judgement to the test. The question is always are the European runners good or bad value in the Breeders Cup betting?
Held over two days, the Breeders Cup includes fourteen races that attract the top racing talent from across the globe. Every race except the Breeders Cup Marathon carries prize money of over a million US dollars. With a total of over twenty five million US dollars on offer in prize money, it is little wonder that horses from England, Ireland, France, South Africa and elsewhere are making the trip to the US to challenge the best of their home-grown talent.
The races are televised and broadcast in 120 countries. UK punters can watch every race on Racing UK or At the Races. As well as the usual horse racing markets, odds are also offered on the number of European and USA wins throughout the meeting.
The first Breeders Cup was held in November, 1984 at Hollywood Park, California. The venue has traditionally been changed each year to give the greatest possible number of US racing enthusiasts a chance to attend. Only in 2008 and 2009 was the Breeders Cup held in the same place, Santa Anita, California, for two years in a row. Churchill Downs, best known for hosting the Kentucky Derby, is the 2010 venue for the two day meeting held on the fifth and sixth of November, giving East Coast racing fans a chance to witness the world’s best thoroughbred racing.
Since 2009, day one of the Breeders Cup has been exclusively devoted to mares and fillies. The races include the Filly & Mare Sprint. If you are looking to start your Breeders Cup betting on day one, take a close look at the results of the four qualifying races for this 6f sprint. The races are; the Gallant Bloom Handicap, the Princess Rooney Handicap, the Thoroughbred Club of America Stakes and the Rancho Bernardo Handicap.
In 2009, punters that had done their homework for the Sprint were rewarded as the two top fancies came home. Informed Decision won at 3-1 with Ventura, the evens favourite, taking second spot. Free Flying Soul was third at 33-1 giving a boost to canny each way punters.
The English filly, Ouija Board was one of the UK’s most successful Breeders Cup raiders. Owned by Lord Derby and trained by Ed Dunlop, she won her first Filly & Mare Turf race as a three-year-old at Lone Star Park. She started the 10-11 favourite and was partnered by Kieren Fallon. The £409,000 prize money was just the beginning of her success story.
In 2005 she came second in the Filly and Mare Turf race, winning £110,417. In 2006 she again rewarded the faith of UK and US punters by winning the same race at Churchill Downs when starting the 6-4 favourite. By that time the takings had risen to £690,000 for the winner giving her a total Breeders Cup prize fund of over £1 million.
The sheer scale of the prize money on offer has had a positive influence on keeping some of the top fillies in training. French superstar filly, Goldikova, was kept in training with Freddie Head as a five year old in 2010 with an ultimate target of achieving a record breaking third BC Mile victory.
On 23 November 2009 when the decision on Goldikova was announced, one UK based bookmaker immediately offered odds of 3-1 for her in the Breeders Cup Mile betting, such is the level of interest in European runners.
Goldikova had rewarded favourite backers twice already, starting at 13/8 favourite in the 2009 running of the Mile and 9/4 favourite in 2008 running of the same race. Her 2009 victory brought with it £750,000 in prize money to add to the £577,000 she earned for her win in 2008.
It is not just the fillies that have delivered for European trainers. In 2009, Man of Iron made the journey to Santa Anita worthwhile for trainer Aidan O’Brien and owners, Smith, Magnier and Tabor. Man of Iron won the Marathon under Johnny Murtagh, starting at 13-2, beating 10-1 shot, Cloudy’s Knight by a nose. The 7/4 favourite in the Breeders Cup betting, Mastery, trained by Saeed Bin Suroor and ridden by Frankie Dettori was two and a quarter lengths third in the 1m6f contest. Even the least valuable race gives £187,000 to the winner.
The last three races of the festival are the most prestigious and provide the climax of the meeting. The Juvenile precedes the Turf with the Classic providing the grand finale to this end of season, ‘World Championship’ meeting. The Classic is held on a dirt course of 1m2f. It is open to both colts and fillies and has been the showcase of some of the greatest racing sensations of all time.
In 2009 the Classic was won in dramatic style by the great filly, Zenyatta. Having missed the break she found herself at the back of the field as usual but still rallied successfully to win the race by a length from Gio Ponti. The win fund for this race is over two million pounds. The 2-1 favourite, the Aiden O’Brien trained Rip Van Winkle, was disappointing, finishing tenth.
Another European trained horse was the favourite in the preceding race, the Turf over 1m4f. Sir Michael Stoute’s Conduit started the 10/11 favourite and, after a patient ride by Ryan Moore, took home the one and a quarter million pound first prize. Stoute’s other horse in the race, Spanish Moon, ridden by Kieren Fallon finished fourth, receiving prize money of £125,000. John Gosden’s Da Re Mi (owned by Sir Andrew Lloyd-Webber and his wife Madeline) took third place and £206,000. All in all, it was an extremely profitable outing for UK based trainers.
Notable moments of the 2010 meeting at Churchill Downs included the narrow defeat of trainer Henry Cecil’s Midday, who went off a 9/10 favourite for England. Ridden by stable jockey Tom Queally, Midday was attempting back-to-back victories in the Filly And Mare Turf (1m3f) but after a rough passage narrowly failed to peg back the Graham Motion-trained 46/1 shot Shared Account. It was the USA-based Englishman’s second Breeders Cup winner after Better Talk Now won the 2004 Turf for Motion six years earlier.
Also in 2010, super-mare Goldikova made it a historic three on the trot in the Breeders Cup Turf Mile while Zenyatta, or rather jockey Mike Smith, managed to conjure up a narrow defeat at the hands of Blame in the Breeders Cup Classic. Zenyatta was a furlong behind after two furlongs and did not look to be travelling well before making up ground late on hand over fist. Jockey Smith compounded what many grandstand observers thought was a diabolically over-confident ride by whipping Zenyatta non-stop up the straight. It was an ugly sight and Smith needs to take a long hard look at himself. Having backed the unbeaten mare down to odds-on favouritism in the Breeders Cup betting to land her 20th win from her 20th race, the American crowd left the racetrack dejected and deflated after that hideous finale. Blame’s connections may not have felt quite so disappointed.
There was victory for trainer Brian Meehan in the Breeders Cup Turf when Dangerous Midge landed the event under Frankie Dettori. The task may have been made simpler by the defection of Workforce and the lacklustre run by Behkabad but English-based Irishman Meehan deserves all the plaudits for this coup.
In 2011 Goldikova ran her last race at the Breeders Cup at Churchill Downs, but it was not the perfect ending. Her devastating final kick deserted her after she had travelled well and she could finish only third to the rank outsider of the field, Court Vision (64/1).
It was also the year that saw 18-year-old Joseph O’Brien, son of trainer Aidan, become the youngest jockey to win at the meeting when partnering St Nicholas Abbey to glory in the 1m4f Turf. This is a feat unlikely to be bettered. You need the perfect mix between rampant nepotism and the most powerful yard on the planet to conjure such a result.
The O’Brien yard made the same mistakes as in previous years, and as they will in future years, by chasing big dollars with turf superstars against specialist dirt champions. They ran brilliant So You Think in the Classic, on dirt, rather than his preferred turf. It was the horse#39;s dirt debut. It is the point where naked, ugly greed takes over from cold commonsense. As with all their dirt runners, he floundered predictably. The horse ran admirably but his connections should be ashamed, but we know they will have learnt nothing from it as the mistake has been repeated so many times.
So You Think hailed from Australia and the colt’s former-trainer legendary Bart Cummings had already criticised the Ballydoyle campaign that had seen the amazing colt beaten several times and patently over-raced. That was before The Cup fiasco. Octogenarian genius Bart must have been spitting blood when he saw his former champion step one hoof on that alien surface.
In the race itself, while gallant So You Think was going backwards through no fault of his own, up front jockey Mike ‘Zenyatta’ Smith came with a late run to swoop on Drosselmeyer. In the process he nailed his former girlfriend, the irritating Chantal Sutherland (shouldn’t she be cheerleading at college football instead?), who had looked set for victory on Game On Dude. Interestingly Sutherland did eventually lose the ride on Game On Dude, who ran a stinker when favourite for the same race the following year.
In 2012 the meeting was at Santa Anita Park in a hot and dry California. Aidan O’Brien was at it again – this time running Fame And Glory on dirt for the first time and also with a visor in the 1m6f Breeders Cup Marathon. Those who backed him into 7/2 had not read this article and needed sectioning. It was a hideous sight to see the old horse go backwards while jockey Jamie Spencer hit him needlessly. Fame And Glory ultimately pulled up. Ballydoyle has once again showed us that their heartless greed is never too far from the surface.
In a bad meeting for the Europeans, Ballydoyle did win the Juvenile Turf with George Vancouver (Ryan Moore on board) while France had a Santa Anita win with Flotilla for trainer Mikel Delzangles in the Juvenile Fillies Turf. Richard Hughes rode a stinker on Sky Lantern in Flotilla’s race, finishing 8th when he should have won. He got totally and typically boxed in on the tight circuit.
The same fate befell William Buick whose normally cool skills deserted him on the big stage somehow ensuring The Fugue, John Gosden’s favourite for the Filly & Mare Turf, got beaten. She was third after being kept in by the American jockeys and never getting a run. She would have been a certain winner with a clear run.
Perhaps both Gosden and Hannon might consider local riders in future, who know how to ride a tight track. Far more likely is that the same mistakes will be made again.
Breeders Cup Conclusion & Betting Advice
The form book shows that the top English and Irish trainers don’t make the trip without heavyweight equestrian ammunition but only back them on Turf or an artificial all-weather track. Do not bet on the Europeans on the dirt surface, particularly the ill-prepared Aidan O’Brien runners who are often too short a price on that foreign surface. You may miss the odd winner but, in the long run, you will save a fortune. Do not be blindly patriotic and do research the US form. Ensure the horses can act on the surface and are being campaigned at their optimum trips. Some European trainers choose the wrong races for their charges in America. The lure of the huge prizemoney can muddy their decision making processes. All this creates opportunities for the level-headed punter to make money in the Breeders Cup betting.