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Derby Betting Odds 2018
4.30pm Saturday June 2, 2018 at Epsom Downs; click best odds in bold; Each-Way Place Terms: 1/5 odds 1,2,3.
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Epsom Derby Preview 2018 with Betting Odds Guide
Cracksman heads the Epsom Derby odds for the 2017 renewal, writes Ross. The horse has not been on a racecourse more than twice in his life, his sole run this season coming when winning the Epsom Derby Trial on April 26. His odds have shortened ever since, notably because the Dante was won by the horse he defeated at Epsom, Permian.
Cracksman comes from the Golden Horn (2015 winner) connections of Frankie Dettori, John Gosden and owner Anthony Oppenheimer. Their judgment has to be respected and they are optimistic for this son of Frankel in what appears to be an open year.
Permian was only a short head behind Cracksman at Epsom and he may have improved to win the Dante at York. There is a possibility that he is being overly ignored in the Derby betting. Certainly the current odds seem to err on the generous side, especially considering Cracksman heads the market.
Lingfield Derby trial winner Best Solution has proved he stays the trip, scooting away from his rivals at the Surrey track over a trip just a half furlong shy of the Derby distance. He is a veteran compared to most of the field, with nine races under his belt. It would be hard to dispute that he has improved for a step up in trip. But will he have the necessary class? Lingfield Derby trial winners have been underestimated before.
Dubai Thunder may win the Derby on only his second start. He could not have been more impressive when winning his Newbury maiden race by 10 lengths just two weeks ago. Adam Kirby was on board then and gets his first ride in the Derby on the son of Dubawi. Given his victory was over 10 furlongs, this two furlongs longer trip should not be a problem. It just depends if he has the class and maturity to cope with the big day so early in his career. Both Morston (1973) and Lammtarra (1995) have achieved the feat of winning the Derby after a single outing.
Dubai Thunder adds a third string to the bow of trainer Saeed bin Suroor, who also saddles Best Solution and Benbatl. The latter was runner-up in the Dante Stakes to Permian.
Dee Stakes winner Cliffs of Moher flies the flag for Aidan O’Brien. He won nicely over the 1m2.5f trip at Chester, running on. It does not need to be said that any number one string from the phenomenal O’Brien yard must be feared by all.
Their Chester Vase winner Venice Beach can not be dismissed either despite the fact he lurks around the 14/1 mark as we write this Derby preview. The yard’s less fancied runners have a history of upsetting the apple cart as all the stables’ well bred horses are lightly raced and progress at different rates. We have seen time and again the lesser lights improve past the bigger fancies. You can not blame Ryan Moore if he rides the wrong one now and then.
Another O’Brien fancy that has attracted money is Capri. His bare form may not catch the eye, but he looks to want this trip. He was most recently a running on third in the Leopardstown Derby Trial. He may have won given a bit more ground, and in a race where many will not stay, Capri is almost guaranteed to get the distance. He is a beautifully bred son of super-sire Galileo but he may need a bit of cut in the ground to show his best. If rain arrives at Epsom, then expect Capri to shortened even further in the Derby odds.
Third favourite is the 2000 Guineas sixth Eminent. The Craven Stakes winner disappointed to a degree in the Guineas despite only being beaten three and a half lengths by the winner Churchill, but he was ridden differently in the big one, being much closer to the pace and seeing too much daylight. In his trial he sat back and finished off his race impressively and was hard to pull up. The Craven was a great Derby pointer and he does warrant huge respect. Another son of Frankel, everything points to the Derby distance being just what Eminent wants.
As well as Cracksman, another for Gosden is Khalidi who was supplemented for the race at a cost of £85,000 bringing the race value to over £1.6m. Despite previously being behind Permian, Khalidi won a listed race at Goodwood by five lengths last time and the yard must expect that he has improved because on bare form it looks a tall order.
The filly Diore Lia is so outclassed that she should not be allowed to run in the Derby. Unless she stays firmly at the rear at all times she will represent a hazard. Some owners need to be saved from their own idiocy and Richard Aylward is a case in point. One trainer has already refused to saddle Diore Lia in this race, so she has returned to John Jenkins who will put his name to this foolishness. The apprentice jockey Paddy Pilley takes the mount after Gina Mangan (an even less experienced apprentice) was stopped from riding at Epsom by the BHA. Pilley should not be allowed in the line-up either. He ought to realise that being part of this dangerous publicity stunt will not help his career. Aylward stating his lust for attention is in the name of ‘charity’ does not make it alright. The odds of 1000/1 about this talentless nag are miserly. It seems the authorities are courting a disaster rather than averting one. Let’s hope the useless 52-rated Diore Lia and her misguided connections don’t ruin the big day for any of the real Epsom Derby contenders.
- Do keep an eye on the betting table above, because the Epsom Derby betting is likely to change complexion significantly in the run up to the race and our odds comparison table will have the latest prices.