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Next Labour Leader Election Odds: Hoist By Its Own Petard
It is a two-horse race, but there will only be one result if the next Labour Leader Election betting odds are to be believed, writes Ross.
Jeremy Corbyn may have no support from his MPs, but it is the Labour Party members who actually vote and they have been swelled by huge numbers of motivated new members who want to support their man. It seems like the Labour Party is being hijacked by socialists, when they were doing so well reinventing themselves as the left-wing of the Tory party.
It seems a strange state of affairs given Jeremy Corbyn was originally nominated by 35 Labour MPs when he stood – and won – the first time around. Then it was just a nice patronising thing to do for a harmless old man who reminded them of what a true socialist looked like. Obviously Brexit was never going to happen, the Millenium Bug would destroy modern civilisation and Corbyn could never win and ruin their Labour Party.
So if anyone in Labour wants to blame someone for the strength of Jeremy Corbyn’s position, here is a little reminder of some of the 35 MPs (famously branded ‘morons’ by a Blair advisor) who nominated Corbyn in the first place: Margaret Beckett, the late Jo Cox, Jon Cruddas, Frank Field, Sadiq Khan (now Mayor of London!), Emily Thornberry and David Lammy.
We will excuse two or three of them, such as Diane Abbott who was always a genuine supporter of her man, from the category of ‘total fools.’ But 30 MPs, who openly did not support Corbyn, put him in the race for leader in the expectation he could not possibly win and that it would be a laugh. It was a great gesture from the middle class Champagne socialists (stand up Sadiq Khan) and it would demonstrate how inclusive they were, with no intention of him actually being allowed on their gravy train. Now he is driving it off the rails.
These MPs are the brainless numbskulls who continue to represent vast areas of the country and one of those idiots is now Mayor of London!
Here at JustBookies, we are not passing judgment on Corbyn and his views, but anyone who would deliberately nominate someone whose ideology they oppose has to be utterly stupid. Therein lies the root cause of the Labour Party’s woes – they just can’t get the staff. It is proof that even if you don’t pay peanuts, you can end up with monkeys.
So, anyone dissatisfied with the mess Labour are in, don’t blame poor old Jeremy Corbyn. Blame the 35 MPs who put him on the ballot paper in the first place. Also, perhaps blame the system that allows anyone to join the Labour membership long after the election has been called and cast their vote. It is a system ripe for manipulation and Labour has been hoist by its own petard.
So now a heavy favourite in the next Labour Leader odds, Corbyn looks likely to be returned Party leader by the election and lead a mutinous band of MPs who despise him.
We know very little about Owen Smith, but all those lining up to face Corbyn were fairly motley. Angela Eagle, deeply unimpressive in front of the cameras, seemed like a joke candidate but is apparently well respected within Labour. Owen Smith appears no better.
Smith has done little to appeal as anything other than a complete lightweight. He has promised a shadow cabinet of 50% women. In the politically correct world of middle-class ‘socialist’ politicians, this disdain for a meritocracy masquerades as progression. People should and do rise by their own merit – the best person for the job is democracy, not promoting people on the basis of their chromosomes. But Labour and democracy have always had a long-distance relationship.
Fielding poor candidates for the top jobs is not a problem unique to Labour, after all the Tories nearly got the deluded Andrea Leadsom. She famously tried to make a national newspaper apologise for quoting her exact words and engaged in a late night Twitter spat, like all great statesmen. Even after her ‘mistake’ became public, she still thought she was right – and that was the truly worrying thing. There are a lot of people in life who have a fairly loose relationship with reality but the ratio seems to strengthen in politics. We never thought we would be grateful for Theresa May!
US Presidential Election Odds: Hillary odds-on to trump Donald
In similar vein, who thought all right-minded people would want to see Hillary Clinton win the next US Presidential election? Fortunately she is a strong favourite in the odds, at the time of writing, but that is no guide to success judged by recent election results.
As those 35 Labour MPs should have learned by now, but are too arrogant to have taken the lesson, there is no such thing as a certainty in betting. For that is what they were doing – betting their entire Party on the fact that Jeremy Corbyn could not win the leadership.
Anyway, let us return to a more dangerous character than any mentioned thus far, Donald Trump. This egotist will be an obvious threat to world peace, yet has supporters by the million. Like Corbyn has blown apart Labour, the fallout for the Republican Party when Trump loses should be devastating. If he wins everyone else will lose out.
Turning to the notion of the next US President odds and betting, it has been stated that demographics should defeat Trump and hand the race to an almost equally unpopular Hillary Clinton.
Apparently there are enough racial and socio-economic groups that Trump has offended to ensure, in theory, that he gets beaten in the race for the White House. Let us hope so. However, as we have seen already, never under-estimate the human desire to be that turkey voting for Christmas.
So looking at these two political elections, here at JustBookies we expect the odds-on shots to justify their place in the betting markets and win. One will get rewarded with the rarefied confines of the White House and the other a seething Labour Party, frankly we are amazed Corbyn has the stomach for the fight.