Last updated July 29th, 2017
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Shell Houston Open Odds – Outright Winner Betting
Houston Open Golf Betting 2017; best odds bold; Each-Way Place Terms: 1/4 odds 1,2.
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Shell Houston Open: Guide To The Odds & Betting Tips’ Preview
With just one week left to go until the first Major of 2017, we will see a strong field go off in the Shell Houston Open down in Texas this week, writes Matt. Players will be looking to find form and touch ahead of the Masters and this tournament can be a key indicator to events at Augusta.
It isn’t however, an event that always provides an obvious winner, as evidenced in 2016 when 38 year old Jim Herman claimed his first, and so far only PGA Tour title. As far as this year’s market is concerned, however, it’s all about the obvious candidate.
At the start of the week, World Number One Dustin Johnson had been leading the market by some margin but he has withdrawn from the event, leaving Jordan Spieth with a clear margin at the top. An 8/1 shot on Monday, Spieth has shortened to 6/1 with most of the main bookies in the wake of Johnson’s absence and the 2015 Masters Champion can now be backed at an industry best of 15/2 with Betfred.
Spieth lost in a play off here in 2015 and tied for 13th last year so has some form on the course while his stats show he leads the Tour in Greens Hit so that could be a crucial factor. With Johnson out of contention, there is such a gap to the next golfer that we’ll move straight to the next category.
The list of recent winners of this event provides some unfamiliar names but if you’re looking for a big-name golfer with some form at the Shell Houston, Henrik Stenson (pictured) has two second placed finishes in this event, most recently in 2016 when the Swede was one shot behind Herman.
Stenson’s form in 2017 reflects his performances at the Shell Houston Open – his last five starts here producing 3, 21, 2, 54, 2 – but at a best of 14/1 with Bet365 and BetVictor, he offers the first real sign of value in the outrights.
Elsewhere, Spain’s Jon Rahm is actually shorter than Stenson at a best of 11/1 with Bet365 and Paddy Power as he makes his debut in this event. Rahm made his breakthrough with that win in the Farmers Insurance Open back in January and has been in decent form since, finishing second in last weekend’s MatchPlay. Clearly he has a big future but as a debutant, I’m keeping my money safe this time around.
Rickie Fowler makes more of a case in the outright market at an industry best of 16/1 with Bet365 and Paddy Power. Fowler has a good record here and with a recent win in the Honda Classic, he’s arguably the best option among the top five.
Australians have a good record here on a course that suits them and the list of previous winners includes Adam Scott, who took the title way back in 2007. The main issue with Scott is the fact that this is his first appearance at the Shell Houston Open since 2010 but his Tour Stats in Par Saving see him feature highly in the Power Rankings this week.
At a best price of 28/1 with Betfred for the win, Scott may be a little too short to be entertained but at odds of 3/1 with Stan James for a Top Ten finish, he’s this preview’s first confirmed betting tip of the week.
The Top Ten market shows JB Holmes at 10/3 with Stan James and the 2015 winner is being talked up in many quarters again this week. He withdrew from his defence in 2016 and hasn’t won since that victory and is struggling to be consistent over four rounds right now.
The Golf Club of Houston provides us with a par 72, 7,457 yard course that will provide wide open fairways and bigger greens than we are used to. It’s therefore very forgiving except that the Stimp is expected to be at around a fast 13 so it could all come down to a shoot out with the flatstick.
Interestingly, the winning scores over the last five renewals have been almost identical with Jim Herman and 2014 winner Matt Jones carding -15, among three further totals of -16.
It all points to a putting war and for that reason I’m coming back to Fowler and Stenson as potential winners and if pushed, I’m backing Fowler at 16/1 with Bet365. In the top ten betting, Adam Scott at 3/1 with Stan James and the dangerous if inconsistent Bernd Wiesberger at 8/1 with BetVictor are the additional tips.