Last updated November 8th, 2017
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Japanese Grand Prix Odds – Outright Winner Betting
Japan GP Betting; Best odds bold; Each-Way Place Terms: 1/3 odds 1,2.
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Japanese Grand Prix Betting – To Win Pole Odds
Japan GP Pole Position Betting; Best odds bold; Each-Way Place Terms: 1/3 odds 1,2.
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Japanese Grand Prix Odds Guide, F1 Betting Preview plus Tips
An exciting, three-team battle for victory looks to be on the cards at this weekend’s Japanese Grand Prix, writes Nick (Race: Sunday, 06:00 BST, live on Sky Sports F1).
It was Max Verstappen who emerged victorious in Malaysia last weekend. The Red Bull driver nipped down the inside of Lewis Hamilton to take an early lead that he held onto thereafter to secure this first victory of the year. His teammate Daniel Ricciardo came home third.
Hamilton was happy to finish second and extend his championship lead on a weekend when both Ferrari and Red Bull looked to have the edge on Mercedes. He was fortunate that both Ferraris suffered engine failures. Championship rival Sebastian Vettel came through from the back of the grid to finish fourth, but Kimi Raikkonen didn’t even make the start.
The British driver therefore takes a 34-point lead into the Japanese Grand Prix, for which he is unsurprisingly favourite in the bookies’ odds. Mercedes have won at Suzuka in each of the last three seasons but within the team there is a feeling that won’t necessarily count for much this weekend. They will be there or thereabouts with Ferrari and Red Bull but it is very difficult to predict a likely winner at this stage.
Where Mercedes and particularly Hamilton do still have an edge is in qualifying. Hamilton took pole position in Malaysia despite otherwise lacking pace in comparison to his main rivals and has now started first on the grid in three of the last four races and in nine of the 15 this season. He always seems to be able to put together a lap when it matters most and that is why he should be fancied to again take pole position this weekend.
Hamilton’s teammate Valtteri Bottas struggled to get into his groove in Malaysia and ended up fifth, ahead of the Force India of Sergio Perez, Stoffel Vandoorne’s McLaren, the two Williams’ of Lance Stroll and Felipe Massa and the second Force India of Esteban Ocon.
For Perez, it was a second consecutive top-six finish and his fifth of the season. After a few missed opportunities due to scraps with his younger teammate Ocon, a pair of strong and solid drives has seen the Mexican pull ahead in the drivers’ championship. He will be confident of again going well this weekend at a circuit where he always shows good pace.
Perez finished eighth at Suzuka on his debut there for Sauber in 2011 and then finished in the points with Force India in 2014 and again last year. He qualified in the top six in 2012 and drove a feisty race before crashing out while trying to overtake Hamilton. He also out-qualified Nico Hulkenberg in each of their three races there as teammates.
Force India were competitive in Belgium, and Suzuka shares enough characteristics with that circuit to suggest that they should be capable of being the first in line to pick up on any scraps left by the three front-running teams this weekend. If things go his way, Perez has a solid chance of securing his sixth top-six finish of the year.
With its unusual figure-of-eight layout and its mix of challenging, sweeping corners and some tight braking zones, the Suzuka circuit is one of the drivers’ favourites. It is a track that favours experience and few on the current grid have as much of that as Massa does.
The Brazilian was not expecting to race in Formula One this year but came out of the briefest of retirements to take the lead seat at Williams when the unexpected retirement of drivers’ champion Nico Rosberg saw Bottas move from the Grove-based team to Mercedes.
He has done a solid job alongside his inexperienced teammate Stroll and while they are only separated by one point in the drivers’ standings, Massa’s nine points finishes to Stroll’s six and an average finishing position just inside the top 10 tell the story of who has been the more consistent performer over the course of the year.
Massa expects the Williams package to be well-suited to Suzuka and after points finishes in five of his last six races, has a good chance of again finishing in the top 10 on Sunday.
Our Preview’s F1 Japanese Grand Prix Betting Tips Verdict
Having studied the Japanese GP odds on offer, these are this preview’s advised betting tips for the weekend:
- Back Lewis Hamilton to take pole position @ best odds of 11/10 with Stan James.
- Bet on Sergio Perez to finish in the top six @ 6/4 with William Hill.
- Back Felipe Massa to secure a points finish @ best of 5/4 with Bet365.