Compare Spanish football 2020/21 La Liga odds from best bookies. Check out both La Liga outright winner and relegation betting using the odds comparison table below & claim free bets from top bookmakers.
La Liga – Outright Winner Betting Odds
To win Spanish League, La Liga Primera 2020 / 2021; click best odds bold; Each-Way Place Terms: Win Only.
La Liga – Relegation Betting Odds
To Be Relegated from La Liga Primera; click best odds bold.
Bookies’ La Liga Odds Suggest Two-Way Title Battle
Real Madrid are the reigning champions and the bookmakers’ La Liga odds again expect the 2020-21 title race to be a two-way battle between them and Barcelona, writes Nick Dorrington.
The two juggernauts of Spanish football have between them won each of the last six and 15 of the last 16 league titles. Even though both are perhaps not as strong at a European level as they have been in the past, they continue to be the dominant teams domestically.
Madrid lifted the 2019-20 trophy, five points clear of Barcelona in second, and a full 17 clear of Atletico Madrid in third. They rarely sparkled, but got the job done with an incredibly tight defence that conceded just 25 times – their best record since the mid-‘60s – and an attack that produced enough when bolstered by a league-high 11 penalty goals to see them home.
Zinedine Zidane’s side are unlikely to be able to lean quite so heavily on their defensive solidity this time around, but despite a relative lack of off-season incomings, they have the personnel to improve their offensive production and again compete for the title.
Barca’s off-season has been rather more chaotic than that of their great rivals, making it hard to get a proper handle on exactly what can be expected of them this season. They have changed coach and sporting director, moved on some older players, made other questionable market moves, and also just about managed to hold onto Lionel Messi despite his desire to depart and evident disdain for the current directorship.
There is still plenty of talent there, enough to think that they will still most likely finish in the top two. Both the punters and the publicly available statistical models seem to think they will but that isn’t quite as clear cut as it was prior to the start of last season.
Atletico Madrid extended their run of consecutive top-three finishes to eight seasons by finishing third last time out. They accumulated their lowest points total in that time but did so in the midst of a fairly significant overhaul of the squad, with a number of stalwarts of Diego Simeone’s tenure departing. They also had good underlying metrics.
Atletico’s off-season transfer work has been conditioned by financial constraints, but they have added some proven firepower in the form of ex-Barcelona striker Luis Suarez. They are the only side other than Barcelona and Madrid to have lifted La Liga’s trophy over the last 16 seasons. While they would represent somewhat of an outside punt to do so again in 2020-21, they are at least likely to be closer to the top two this time around.
Despite a huge amount of squad turnover and a new head coach, Sevilla finished a deserved fourth last season. Julen Lopetegui crafted a solid and well-structured team who ended the campaign a full 10 points clear of Villarreal in fifth. Rather neatly, the top-four finishers were also the four best teams in the league by the underlying numbers.
That also extended out to fifth and sixth, with Villarreal followed home by Real Sociedad. The underlying numbers had both of them closer in quality to Sevilla than top-line results suggested. It is certainly possible that one or the other could manage to edge their way into the top four this season. The La Liga odds on them doing so look pretty tempting.
Granada and Getafe finished seventh and eighth respectively last season, the former superbly so on their return to the top flight. They both have well-defined approaches and are likely to finish again at least in the top 10, if not compete for the European places.
Valencia have sold off a number of their best players, seemingly due to financial issues following their failure to qualify for the Champions League last season, and are unlikely to better last season’s ninth-place finish.
The team most likely to make a big leap forward in 2020-21 is Real Betis. They had the seventh best underlying numbers in the league last season and their 15th place finish did little justice to the talent in the squad. New coach Manuel Pellegrini is an experienced operator who has previously done excellent work in Spain at both Villarreal and Malaga. In his hands, Betis can aim upwards, at least to the top 10, and probably higher still.
La Liga Relegation Battle
At the other end of the table, the three promoted sides were quickly installed as the three favourites in the chief British-based sports betting sites’ La Liga relegation odds. Playoff winners Elche do look a clear favourite for the drop, while Cadiz and champions Huesca can be expected to compete with the likes of Alaves, Celta Vigo, Eibar and Real Valladolid to avoid making a swift return to the second tier. If last season is anything to go by it is likely to be very tight down at the bottom.
Athletic Club have never been relegated from the top flight, but their metrics were bad last season, particularly so during the second half of the campaign. The likelihood is that they will be moored in mid-table obscurity, but it wouldn’t take too much of a shift in results to see them embroiled in a relegation battle.
That leaves Levante and Osasuna, the former a wonderfully open side in an increasingly goal-shy league, as probable mid-table finishers.