Compare and contrast the 2020 Melbourne Cup odds from the top bookies below. Australia’s most famous horse race is run on the first Tuesday of November.
Melbourne Cup Betting Odds 2020
When Is The Melbourne Cup? 3pm local time & 4am GMT Tuesday November 3 2020; 2m (3200m), Flemington Racecourse; Maximum 24 runners; Best odds bold; Bookies’ Each-Way Place Terms: 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4. Live TV Coverage: Australia – Channel 10; UK – Sky Sports Racing.
Melbourne Cup 2020 Preview, Betting Odds, Form & Chances
The Melbourne Cup is in the back of every Australian trainer’s mind right now, and in the thoughts of plenty in Europe as well, writes Ross King.
Here we give a guide to the Melbourne Cup 2020 with our thoughts on the chances of the main protagonists. This preview will be updated regularly to reflect the changing nature of the betting market. Plenty of horses have yet to show their hands and many will no doubt drop out of contention through injury, lack of current form or a change of plans:
Russian Camelot: This Northern Hemisphere bred colt thrust himself into the 2020 Melbourne Cup picture with a devastating win in the South Australian Derby (2500m; 1m41/2 furlongs) at Morphettville on May 9. Given an apparently poor ride by jockey John Allen, the 19/10 favourite was held up way off the pace and caught very wide. The counter-argument would be that keeping clear of traffic problems and trouble was a canny move by connections.
The colt circled the field and strode away with supreme dominance. The run was particularly eye-catching for the way he travelled, always on the bridle and cruising effortlessly as the rest of the field came under heavy pressure. He strode away in the straight for a facile and near two-length success for trainer Danny O’Brien, who won the big one with Vow And Declare in 2019.
A mere three-year-old, and six months younger than his peer group having been bred and foaled in Ireland, Russian Camelot was the first Northern Hemisphere bred three-year-old to win a Group 1 in Australia. It is either a measure of his talent or the lack thereof among his rivals. However the form does look solid and he shot straight to the head of the Melbourne Cup odds with the bookies. His new rating, coming off the historic win was 105.
Oceanex: In winning the $320k AUD Andrew Ramsden Stakes at Flemington over 2800m (1m6f) on May 16, NZ-bred four-year-old filly Oceanex became the first horse to guarantee a place in this year’s Melbourne Cup due to its ‘win and you’re in’ status. Trained by Mick Price in partnership with Michael Kent, Oceanex has improved with each step up in trip. Danny O’Brien’s King of Leogrance started 4/5 favorite and finished second, giving the form some credibility. Oceanex was rated 105 coming off this performance, an irrelevance given the ‘golden ticket’ she picked up for the first Tuesday in November.
Haky: This is a current rank-outsider at the odds that we like. The six-year-old gelding was a French import last year when a nice third for trainer John Hammond in the 2019 Geelong Cup behind winner Prince of Arran and runner-up True Self. Haky ran too free in front that day under jockey Linda Meech, who failed to settle the son of Muhtathir. It is a video worthy of review because a lot went wrong and still Haky ran with credit against two very solid yardsticks.
This term, new handler Archie Alexander as set about teaching Haky to settle a bit better in his races and that policy bore fruit with a taking 12/1 victory under Declan Bates in the William Newton VC Handicap (2600m; 1m5f), notably at Flemington, on April 25. The opposition lacked a little strength in depth but the style of victory was taking, striking for home early and never looking in danger all the way to the line.
The most significant scalp on the day was that of last year’s Melbourne Cup hero Vow And Declare who started 10/11 favourite and could only finish fifth. Obviously the latter, off a mark of 111 was conceding weight to 100-rated Haky and did not run to his best. All the talk was about Vow And Declare and Haky’s performance has gone slightly under the radar. Up 3lb for the win to 103, the big doubt for Haky backers would be if he can get a run on November 3. He may need to win a golden ticket or rise by a few pounds yet. That could happen as he has been handled patiently, has low mileage for his age and is still improving.
Vow And Declare: The hero of last year’s renewal off a mark of 113, he has been a little below par of late. He failed to quicken at the business end of the race when beaten four lengths into 5th behind Haky in a handicap at Flemington when 4/5 favourite (off 111) at the end of April. However it is a long time until November and he can’t be discounted.
Melbourne Cup Ballot Exempt Races
These are the five ballot exempt races that give the winner a ‘win and you’re in’ golden ticket for the Melbourne Cup:
- Andrew Ramsden Stakes (May 16 2020; 2800m / 1m6f Flemington; Listed; 3yo to 5yo weight for age; Prizemoney: $321,000; 2020 Winner: Oceanex).
- The Bart Cummings (Oct 3 2020; 2500m / 1m4.5f Flemington; Group 3 Handicap; $300,000).
- The Caulfield Cup (Oct 17 2020; 2400m / 1m4f Caulfield; Group 1 Handicap; $5million; Safety limit: 18 runners).
- The Cox Plate (Oct 24 2020; 2040m / 1m2f Moonee Valley; Group 1 weight for age; $5million).
- The Lexus Stakes (Oct 31 2020; 2500m / 1m4.5f Flemington; Group 3 Handicap, formerly Hotham Handicap; $300,000).