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Nedbank Challenge Golf Odds – Outright Winner Betting
Nedbank Challenge Betting 2017; best odds bold; Each-Way Place Terms: 1/4 odds 1,2,3.
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Nedbank Challenge Preview, Betting Tips & Analysis of Odds
A field of 72 assembles in South Africa for a tournament appearing on the schedule for the second time this season, writes Matt. A change in scheduling means that the Nedbank Challenge now forms part of the European Tour’s Final Series and with the Race to Dubai hotting up, we now have a strong list of contenders. This preview guides you through the best options presented by the bookmakers’ Nedbank Challenge odds.
In a sport where winners can frequently come from beyond the 50/1 mark, it’s telling that we have such a clear favourite in Henrik Stenson. The Swede is priced at an industry best of 9/2 with SkyBet and Coral – some 15 points clear of his closest challengers.
It’s not just form that puts the current Open Champion so far out in front. Stenson has played in this tournament on six previous occasions and has finished no worse than fourth. That’s an incredible record – he has one previous victory in 2008 and a runner up last time out so there is an obvious pick to start things off.
Behind market leader Stenson, we have that significant gap to joint second favourites Alex Noren and Ross Fisher who are both quoted at 20/1 with Stan James and Ladbrokes. Noren has lifted a trophy no less than four times in his last 11 outings but doesn’t necessarily have the game for this course while Fisher is consistent but unremarkable and just looks a little too short.
Of the two men, Noren is a better option at 7/4 for a top ten with Stan James but overall, perhaps these figures just underline how far Stenson should be ahead of the field.
Beyond those, there is a more interesting option in Martin Kaymer who won this event back in 2012. The German is as low as 18/1 in some places but at an industry best of 22/1 with Paddy Power and BetVictor, there’s more than one reason why he should be considered despite a disappointing showing in the WGC HSBC in Shanghai.
Previous winners tend to continue performing well and as we’ll see later when we look at the course round up, he has the ideal game for the Gary Player.
Elsewhere, we’ve been quick to rule out Danny Willett in recent weeks and while that decision hasn’t cost us any money, the reigning Masters Champion has shown glimpses of his best form. With the Race to Dubai still on the line, Willett at a distant 45/1 with Bet365 is worth more than a look.
Among those further back in the market, Chris Wood is being talked up in certain quarters as a man who has enjoyed the big occasion in 2016. A breakthrough win at the BMW PGA and one of the more dependable European performances at the Ryder Cup suggest Wood, who is at 40/1 with Betfred in the outrights, deserves a stake at 16/5 with William Hill for a top ten.
Another man in form and demanding attention in that top ten market is Tyrell Hatton at 5/2 with SkyBet and Ladbrokes while Mikko Ilonen is less consistent but after recording a solo tenth at the Turkish Airlines Open at the weekend, I am definitely backing the Finn at 5/1 with Bet365 to equal that finish at the very least.
The Gary Player Country Club gives us a par 72 course, coming in at 7,831 yards and it will typically suit accuracy off the tee. Low scoring is essential and of the last five winners, four have carded at -15 or better.
Multiple victories are common while debut wins on this particular course are rare so, looking at those trends, who should we be considering? We’ve discounted Noren based on a lack of driving accuracy while Willett would buck a trend by becoming the first debutant winner on this course.
Course requirements put Kaymer in contention, among others but overall, everything continues to point to Henrik Stenson. The Swede is in form, he has that incredible record at this event and is looking to close out the Race to Dubai so has it all to play for.
The win odds of 9/2 are less than tempting however and an odds-on top 5 price offers no value as a betting tip. The better punts involve a clutch of players in the top ten market with Ilonen, Hatton, Willett and Wood looking to be the pick of that particular bunch.
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