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The Open Championship Odds – Outright Winner Betting
Open Golf Betting Odds 2017; Best odds bold; Each-Way Place Terms: 1/4 odds 1,2.
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The Open Championship 2017 Betting Preview, Tips with Open Odds Guide
We’ve stayed in Europe for the last two weeks as the build up to 2017’s third major has progressed and now it’s time for the big one, writes Matt. The 146th Open Championship tees off at Royal Birkdale on Thursday and needless to say this is the strongest field that we will see on this side of the Atlantic with the bookies going 16/1 the field in their Open odds.
It’s always tough to predict – Darren Clarke was a 150/1 winner in 2011 – but two tournaments on similar links courses in July may give this Open preview some indicators.
A shift in the betting overnight means we have a three-way tie at the top of the outright winner market. World Number One Dustin Johnson is at an industry best of 16/1 with Ladbrokes while Jordan Spieth is on offer at the same 16/1 with William Hill.
Completing the trio is Rickie Fowler, best at 16/1 with Bet365, but who stands out from the joint favourites? Fowler remained in contention at Dundonald for much of last week and as we’ll see, a warm up at the Scottish Open could be a key indicator.
Spieth heads the Power Rankings and would be a slight preference but there is better value as we move through the field.
Rory McIlroy’s best price of 20/1 with Bet365 in the Open outright odds is clearly based on reputation rather than form. He remains the World Number four but anyone who witnessed two missed cuts in succession will be keeping their money away from the Northern Irishman this week.
Meanwhile, there is a lot of talk around two Spaniards this week – Jon Rahm at 18/1 with William Hill and Ladbrokes and US Masters Champion Sergio Garcia at 20/1 with Betfred. Garcia has been absent from all golf since the BMW PGA in May while Rahm was seriously impressive in claiming the Irish Open at the start of this month and is a genuine contender this week.
Also in the chasing pack are Justin Rose at 22/1 with Betfred, new World Number two Hideki Matsuyama at 22/1 with William Hill and local boy Tommy Fleetwood at 25/1 with Paddy Power.
We took a handy profit last week at 9/2 on Andy Sullivan in the top ten markets and the Englishman wouldn’t be the worst pick this week at best odds of 100/1 in the outrights with Paddy Power and Betfred. However, with much greater competition we’ll skip the 30 year old despite a consistent showing in Dundonald.
Others who performed well at the Scottish Open last time out include unlucky loser Callum Shinkwin who missed out in the play off. Shinkwin is listed at an eye-catching 250/1 with SkyBet, who interestingly offer industry best each-way place terms for the first 10 home. Add in Andrew Dodt at 400/1 with Betfred and if you’re betting solely with form then either of those names could be options for an each-way or top 10 punt.
Coming down to a much shorter price is Matt Kuchar at an industry best of 60/1 with BetVictor. Kuchar was our tip for the Scottish Open last week and gave us a decent run for our money without ever threatening first place.
The Open returns to Royal Birkdale for the first time since 2008 when Padraig Harrington claimed the title. There’s plenty of talk around the Irishman this week at best of 66/1 in the Open Championship betting odds with William Hill but what test does this course provide?
How The Course Could Influence the Outcome
This has been cited as one of the toughest driving courses on tour with bunkers in play on every hole. No one stat stands out from that 2008 renewal but getting up and down to save par will prove crucial.
Perhaps the biggest clue comes with the fact that six of the last seven winners competed at the Scottish Open the previous week. Along with the Irish Open, the Dundonald course provided a perfect opportunity for a warm up at two links courses before heading to the coastal venue at Birkdale and it’s a huge surprise that many chose to ignore this option.
That could be a costly miss for highly fancied golfers such as Spieth and Johnson: It doesn’t rule them out but we will use that fact in our selections this week.
This Open Preview’s Betting Tips Verdict
- An outright win is so tough to call but we will bet betting each-way on Matt Kuchar at that 60/1 price with BetVictor.
- We will also be having a wager in the Top 10 odds market on the following players: Local knowledge and form make Tommy Fleetwood an obvious choice at 3/1 with Betfred while you can add Rickie Fowler at 7/4 with Betfred, Justin Thomas at an excellent 10/1 with Stan James and the impressive Jon Rahm at a more modest 21/10 with Paddy Power.
What do you think?