Last updated July 29th, 2017
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Sony Open Odds – Outright Winner Betting
Sony Open Betting 2017; Best odds bold; Each-Way Place Terms: 1/5 odds 1,2,3.
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Guide To Sony Open Odds and Betting Preview
After a compelling Tournament of Champions, the new PGA Tour stays on Hawaii with a few indicators to carry forward to Thursday’s Sony Open, writes Matt. It was a restricted field last week, but this becomes more competitive with numerous contenders in a much bigger list.
Argentina’s Fabian Gomez took the title 12 months ago but ahead of the first tee off, the betting market is dominated by the usual suspects.
Jordan Spieth is yet to make a mark at this tournament but after a creditable third last week, the 2015 Masters Champions leads the outrights at an industry best of 7/1 with Betfred and Stan James. Spieth’s potential will always shorten his price but he has no form here, having missed the cut on his only previous visit in 2014.
It’s perhaps a little surprising that Hideki Matsuyama is edged into the second favourite’s berth at 8/1 in the Sony Open odds with SkyBet and Ladbrokes. The Japanese continued his brilliant displays from the close of 2016 with a second place in Maui last weekend and looks a bigger threat than Spieth right now. With four wins since the middle of October, my money is behind Matsuyama as a first, and rather obvious betting tip.
Jimmy Walker has won the Sony twice in the last three years and was in contention for much of last week’s Tournament of Champions. A tie for 9th in a very bunched finish indicates that the PGA Champion can’t be ruled out at 22/1 with Bet365 and Paddy Power for the win.
As we’ll see from the trends, it’s likely to come down to Walker’s form with the putter but previous form on this very course leaves him as a strong selection for a top 10 at 7/4 with Paddy Power and William Hill, or a top 5 at 9/2 with Paddy Power and Coral.
Justin Thomas has inevitably dropped in price after that impressive win last time out and is on offer here at an industry best of 14/1 with Bet365 and Stan James. Statistics are against back to back winners but that’s the second time that the 23 year old has held off a challenge from an in-form Matsuyama and Thomas is another strong option in the top 10 betting at 6/4 with Paddy Power.
Some Sony Open Outside Options In The Betting
The English pair of Justin Rose and Paul Casey offer interesting options at win odds of 30/1 with Paddy Power and 28/1 with Bet365 respectively. Rose had his injury issues last year but if he is fully fit, will offer a challenge on this course while Casey showed good form as 2016 closed out.
In fact, Casey at twice the price of Justin Thomas represents seriously good value and I will certainly take the Englishman for a top 10 at 2/1 with either Paddy Power or William Hill.
Other players being talked up are Russell Knox at 40/1 in the outrights with Bet365 and SkyBet, together with Harris English who many feel is due a return to winning form having failed to fulfil early potential and add to his two PGA Tour wins in 2013.
English is at 66/1 with Bet365 and Stan James in the outright market and could be worth a small stake this week.
Analysis of The Trends
Previous results tend to suggest an advantage for those who competed at the Tournament of Champions last weekend and that has certainly been reflected in this week’s prices. Last year’s winner Gomez finished in Maui with a tied 6th while 2015 victor Jimmy Walker had finished runner up the week before.
However, only Ernie Els in 2003 captured both trophies in the same year so that would tend to rule out Justin Thomas in the Sony Open outright winner betting at least.
The course itself at Waialae Country Club is a short par 70 at a shade over 7,000 yards and the only factor to really connect previous winners is their putting. Accuracy and / or distance off the tee barely features in the stats so really it should just come down to a battle with the flat stick.
Sony Open Preview Conclusion
For that reason I’m sticking with Matsuyama at 8/1 with SkyBet as one of my betting tips. He has the form and mind-set to get over the line if it comes down to a straight putting duel. Harris English is worthy of a small wager each-way at 66/1 with Bet365 and elsewhere I’m playing safer and putting Jimmy Walker at 7/4 with Paddy Power, Paul Casey at 2/1 with William Hill and Justin Thomas at 6/4 with Paddy Power on my betting slip for a top 10 finish.