Last updated July 29th, 2017
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The Players Championship Odds – Outright Winner Betting
The Players Championship Golf Betting 2017; best odds bold; Each-Way Place Terms: 1/4 odds 1,2,3.
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The Players Championship Preview, Betting Tips & Best Odds Guide
The TPC at Sawgrass is often referred to as the fifth major and while some would dispute that claim, it’s certain to ensure a competitive field on the PGA Tour this week, writes Matt. It is, in fact, the strongest entry since the Masters last month with a number of big names returning to action for the first time since Augusta. The Players Championship outright winner odds market is therefore dominated by the usual suspects once again.
World Number One Dustin Johnson defied punters who avoided him since his unfortunate injury by coming within one shot of taking the Wells Fargo Championship on Sunday. Johnson now has that second place plus four wins in his previous five outings and is an obvious favourite for the The Players Championship at an industry best of 15/2 with both Stan James and SkyBet.
Behind Johnson, Rory McIlroy and Jordan Spieth are locked together with some bookies but Rory has the edge at a best of 12/1 with Ladbrokes and Coral. The Northern Irishman’s stats are the more impressive, both at the TPC, where he has three Top Tens and a Tie for 12th in the last four years and in recent months with seven straight top ten finishes.
Spieth, at a top price of 14/1 with Stan James and Betfred finished 4th on debut here in 2014 but, uncharacteristically, has missed the cut on both occasions since.
Fresh from his victory at Augusta, our newest Major Champion Sergio Garcia has to be seen as a value option in the chasing pack at a best price of 18/1 with Bet365 and William Hill.
Sergio is a previous winner here and although he took the Players Championship way back in 2008, he has been runner up twice, most recently in 2015 when the Spaniard lost out in a play off to Rickie Fowler.
Joining Garcia at 22/1 with Bet365 and Stan James is defending Champion Jason Day who came in at -15 twelve months ago, holding off Kevin Chappell by an impressive four strokes. There have been hints that the former World Number One can get back to his best following that injury break but Sawgrass may still be too early for an outright bet.
The first player I’m going to commit to here is 2015 Champion Fowler who is at an industry best in the outrights at 22/1 with Betfred. There was something of a challenge at the Masters following February’s win in the Honda Classic and he has good relevant stats for the TPC. At the very least, Fowler is a tip for the Top Ten market at 11/5 with Stan James.
Paul Casey came within one shot of giving us a profit in the Top Tens at Wells Fargo last week and he could be considered in the same market for TPC at 4/1 with Stan James. Casey has no great record at Sawgrass so I will avoid a best of 45/1 with Bet365 for the outright winner market in The Players Championship odds, although he has good stats including a sixth on tour in bogey avoidance.
Elsewhere, Graeme McDowell showed up well at Wells Fargo last weekend before drifting away to 18th and he has looked threatening all year. McDowell is an option at an excellent 11/1 with Bet365 for a Top Ten finish but the real standout in this market is Jimmy Walker at that same 11/1 with Stan James.
Walker isn’t in the Power Rankings and doesn’t have a great record at Sawgrass but you can’t ignore the PGA Champion’s quality at the bigger tournaments.
It’s an iconic event with some of the most recognisable holes on the tour, and the TPC is all played out on the Stadium Course, one of two courses on the Sawgrass complex. The Stadium is a par 72 at 7,215 yards and recent winners suggest that distance hitting, and not necessarily accuracy off the tee is key.
That’s why I’m coming back to Fowler who doesn’t necessarily have the big booming drives but is top on Tour in adjusted scoring and tied for seventh in terms of bogey avoidance. Fowler at 22/1 in the outrights with Betfred is the tempting choice unless you prefer that 11/5 with Stan James for a Top Ten finish.
It’s such a big field that we could go on much longer and talk up a few more players but other Top Ten tips this week are Walker at 11/1, Casey at 4/1, plus Garcia at 2/1, Justin Rose at 5/2 and Phil Mickelson at 6/1 – all of those are top industry prices with Stan James.