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WGC-HSBC Champions Odds – Outright Winner Betting
WGC-HSBC Champions Golf Betting 2016; best odds bold; Each-Way Place Terms: 1/3 odds 1,2.
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Analysis of WGC-HSBC Champions Golf Odds and Betting Preview
After a relatively subdued few weeks since the climax of the Ryder Cup, no less than eight of the world’s top ten golfers will assemble, amongst an overall field of 78, for the WGC-HSBC Champions tournament in Shanghai, writes Matt.
As a long European season comes to a close, Rory McIlroy leads the way with most bookies but with so many top class competitors, this is another tough one to predict. With this preview we will analyse the form and conclude with our betting tips.
Rory is fractionally ahead of Dustin Johnson in the outright betting at an industry best of 11/2 with Stan James but has yet to feature in the top two in this event. Punters expecting a shoot-out between these golfers will therefore be aware that Johnson took the title here in 2013 and while he matches the Northern Irishman in some markets, you can get a best price of 6/1 with Coral and Paddy Power on the US Open winner.
Of those two, McIlroy has improved in form after a slump at the Masters where he conceded that the pressure of achieving the Grand Slam was affecting his game. A FedEx triumph and a decent Ryder Cup suggest he is peaking at the right time for this week’s event and he certainly seems to justify that favourite’s berth.
Johnson meanwhile has added every individual tour award possible to that US Open triumph this year. He has won this event as we know and took the BMW as recently as September so there’s little to split the two men.
The Chasing Pack
It’s notable that behind Johnson’s 6/1 win price, we have a significant gap until we come across the third favourite – Hideki Matsuyama – out at 22/1 with either Betfred or Coral. If immediate form is your only concern then that represents great value on the 24 year old who comes here following a win at the Japan Open and a solo second at the CIMB Classic last weekend.
Matsuyama has no great form here however, with a best of a tied 41st, but has the game for this course and at the very least is a strong option at 2/1 with Paddy Power for a top ten finish.
Meanwhile, the winner of the CIMB Classic, Justin Thomas, is another whose game will suit the long par 5s in Shanghai. Thomas is on offer at 30/1 with Betfred for the win or a seriously tempting 11/2 with Paddy Power for a top ten.
2016’s WGC-HSBC Champions field will feature all of 2016’s Major Winners. We’ve already discussed Dustin Johnson so what of Danny Willett, Henrik Stenson and Jimmy Walker?
Willett’s dramatic surge to overtake Jordan Spieth at the Masters is already being dismissed as a ‘one-off’ and he has certainly done little to suggest a repeat just yet. After a dismal Ryder Cup both on and off the course, Willett doesn’t look generous, even at 80/1 for the win with Stan James.
That same 80/1 price can be found next to Walker’s name, this time with Stan James and BetVictor so that’s a clear indication as to where their respective games are right now. That leaves Stenson at 22/1 with SkyBet who comes here with injury concerns but finished in a tie for 11th last year under similar circumstances. The Swede looks to be the best option of those three and could be worth a small punt at 15/4 with BetVictor for the top ten.
Alex Noren is a man who knows how to get over the line and with three wins in his last nine, the Swede gives great value at 55/1 with Betfred in the outright betting. Noren has climbed into the top 20 as a result of that run and at a rank of 24 in Europe for GIR, this could well be his week once again.
We’ve discussed the possibility of a straight shoot-out between Johnson and McIlroy and it’s worth going over some stats one more time. Rory may not have claimed this title yet but in five visits to this course, has a worst of a tied 11th and has a scoring average of 68.70.
Johnson’s average in his last nine rounds on this Sheshan course is significantly better at 66.89 however and the American looks the best pick in the outrights at 6/1 with Paddy Power.
For outside options, Matsuyama and Noren are this week’s selections for top ten finishes at 2/1 and 9/2 respectively – both prices are with Paddy Power.
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