Last updated August 13th, 2019
Compare the best 2018 X Factor odds for outright winner and X Factor elimination betting from the top bookmakers plus claim bookies free bets.
X Factor Betting Odds – Outright Winner Betting
To Win X Factor; Best X Factor odds in bold; Each-Way Place Terms: Win Only.
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X Factor Odds – Winning Manager Betting
X Factor Winning Manager Odds.
X Factor Next Elimination Betting Odds
X Factor Next to Be Voted Off.
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All about X Factor Odds & betting on the winner
Having a little bet on the on the X Factor odds has become so popular that there are now lots of different ways that you can play on the TV show. It is not just about picking the winner.
Bookmakers provide odds on a wide range of markets including a number of specials. You can even bet on the chances of the judges coming to blows. You can also place a wager on the chances of the winner reaching number one in the BBC Radio charts at Christmas, but don’t expect to receive generous odds on that one.
If you have been watching the TV show for a few years, you have probably built up the necessary knowledge to bet on who the judges will want to keep in and who will be asked to leave. You have probably guessed correctly on many occasions and had the satisfaction of knowing you were right before the results were announced.
Many bookmakers will also take bets on who will be voted out of the TV show each week, so you can even pick the loser with the judges. Yes, the X Factor elimination odds are a real source of interest.
How to make most of X Factor betting
If you have the skill to spot the potential appeal of a contestant, both with the judges and the voting public, you need to select your winner and place a bet on them as early as possible in the series. If you spend too long thinking about it and wait until the last few weeks of the competition, the relatively small number of remaining contestants will mean that you will not be offered nearly such generous odds.
The 2012 winner, James Arthur, was never favourite to win. However his odds did steadily shrink as the weeks went by. He beat Jahmene Douglas, who had been shortest in the betting for much of the series.
Tips to help you bet on the X Factor winner:
Looking back at the characteristics of past winners can be a useful exercise if you want to achieve success.
Young, attractive, but not overwhelmingly masculine dark haired men have by far the best success rate. All the winners have been relatively young, a statistic that has been reinforced in recent years with the barely post pubescent Joe McElderry’s triumph in 2009. And no one was in the least bit surprised when he came out as a homosexual as a result of hackers twittering in July 2010.
In 2010 the long-term bookies’ favourite Matt Cardle won the show. He was another good-looking young man. Interestingly he was not a surprise winner as, except for the first week, he garnered the most public votes every single week.
While 2011 did not see a boy win, the not-so-tall, dark and handsome Marcus Collins came a very close second to the four-piece girl group Little Mix. Both the winners and runner-up were young.
While it would be a stretch of the imagination to call 2012 victor James Arthur attractive, the final two were both young men and both had built up a significant fan base before the final weeks.
Whilst on the subject of sexuality, the designated coaching categories of Boys, Girls, Groups and over 25s speak volumes. If contestants are over 25, their gender is apparently no longer relevant. Bear that in mind if you are getting involved in the X Factor odds and betting on the outright winner market. Contestants deemed genderless before the competition even starts are unlikely to win. The over 25s appear to be a ‘special needs’ category requiring specialist coaching on account of their antiquity.
Female performers as well as the over 25s are up against it statistically if you are looking for an outright winner. They have to be pretty outstanding as well as outstandingly pretty to conquer the gender bias inherent in the voting patterns. The success rate of Girls is around 30% so the safest bet is definitely a young man.
Having mentioned the ageist element that should affect your decisions, there are other politically incorrect considerations to bear in mind too.
If you are looking to bet on the winner then forget fat and hairy people. If talented contestants are both obese and hirsute they may stand a chance of getting some sympathy votes from the judges and the voting viewers but not enough to claim the top spot.
Susan Boyle springs to mind but she was in Britain’s Got Talent in 2009 rather than the X Factor and, at one stage, was the favourite in the betting. In a complete shock to everyone, she got beaten by the dance troupe Diversity. How often does a dance troupe win a talent contest that also features vocalists? At some late stage, the viewers’ sense of aesthetics must have been engaged. All the sizeist, ageist people, usually too apathetic to vote for anything presumably panicked and picked up their phones to vote for Diversity in the hope of banishing the relatively elderly, fat, hairy vocalist from their televisions screens for ever. No such luck.
The phenomenal popularity of the show has had an impact far beyond dominating Saturday night television viewing and generating a demand for gambling. For the younger generation, the meaning of the expression from which the television talent contest derives its name is likely to be totally lost. The X Factor will no longer be a certain ‘je ne sais quoi’ that makes someone or something particularly appealing. You can bet that in a few years time anyone under the age of 18 will think that the phrase relates solely to the television show and a person’s ability to win a talent contest. We suggest you don’t worry about that and instead, armed with our advice, scour the X Factor odds and search for the opportunities that exist in the betting markets for this biggest of Reality TV talent shows.